Correlation Between Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Gudang Garam Tbk and PT Cilacap Samudera, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Gudang Garam with a short position of PT Cilacap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap.

Diversification Opportunities for Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap

0.69

Correlation Coefficient

Gudang Garam  PT Cilacap

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Gudang and ASHA is 0.69. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Gudang Garam Tbk and PT Cilacap Samudera in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PT Cilacap Samudera and Gudang Garam is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Gudang Garam Tbk are associated (or correlated) with PT Cilacap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PT Cilacap Samudera has no effect on the direction of Gudang Garam i.e., Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gudang Garam Tbk is expected to under-perform the PT Cilacap. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Gudang Garam Tbk is 3.0 times less risky than PT Cilacap. The stock trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The PT Cilacap Samudera is currently generating about -0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,500  in PT Cilacap Samudera on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (300.00) from holding PT Cilacap Samudera or give up 20.0% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Gudang Garam Tbk  vs.  PT Cilacap Samudera

Gudang Garam Tbk

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Gudang Garam Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

PT Cilacap Samudera

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days PT Cilacap Samudera has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Pair Trading with Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Gudang Garam and PT Cilacap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Gudang Garam position performs unexpectedly, PT Cilacap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PT Cilacap will offset losses from the drop in PT Cilacap's long position.

The idea behind Gudang Garam Tbk and PT Cilacap Samudera pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.