Correlation Between ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ICC Holdings with a short position of Assured Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty

0.57

Correlation Coefficient

ICC Holdings  Assured Guaranty

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between ICC and Assured is 0.57. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Assured Guaranty and ICC Holdings is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ICC Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Assured Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Assured Guaranty has no effect on the direction of ICC Holdings i.e., ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ICC Holdings is expected to generate 7.92 times less return on investment than Assured Guaranty. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, ICC Holdings is 3.28 times less risky than Assured Guaranty. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Assured Guaranty is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  8,023  in Assured Guaranty on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,305  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 16.27% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	87.5%
Values	Daily Returns

ICC Holdings  vs.  Assured Guaranty

ICC Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ICC Holdings are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong fundamental indicators, ICC Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Assured Guaranty

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Assured Guaranty displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ICC Holdings position performs unexpectedly, Assured Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Assured Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in Assured Guaranty's long position.

The idea behind ICC Holdings and Assured Guaranty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..