Correlation Between International Paper and CF Industries

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both International Paper and CF Industries at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining International Paper and CF Industries into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between International Paper and CF Industries Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on International Paper and CF Industries and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in International Paper with a short position of CF Industries. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of International Paper and CF Industries.

Diversification Opportunities for International Paper and CF Industries

0.62

Correlation Coefficient

International Paper  CF Industries

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between International and CF Industries is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding International Paper and CF Industries Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CF Industries Holdings and International Paper is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on International Paper are associated (or correlated) with CF Industries. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CF Industries Holdings has no effect on the direction of International Paper i.e., International Paper and CF Industries go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between International Paper and CF Industries

Assuming the 90 days horizon International Paper is expected to generate 7.94 times less return on investment than CF Industries. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, International Paper is 7.83 times less risky than CF Industries. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. CF Industries Holdings is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,725  in CF Industries Holdings on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,159  from holding CF Industries Holdings or generate 15.0% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	71.88%
Values	Daily Returns

International Paper  vs.  CF Industries Holdings

International Paper

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Good

Over the last 90 days International Paper has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, International Paper is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

CF Industries Holdings

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CF Industries Holdings are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak technical and fundamental indicators, CF Industries reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with International Paper and CF Industries

The main advantage of trading using opposite International Paper and CF Industries positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if International Paper position performs unexpectedly, CF Industries can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CF Industries will offset losses from the drop in CF Industries' long position.

The idea behind International Paper and CF Industries Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.