Correlation Between NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining Holding, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in NovaGold Resources with a short position of Hycroft Mining. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining.

Diversification Opportunities for NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining

0.11
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between NovaGold and Hycroft is 0.11. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining Holding in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Hycroft Mining Holding and NovaGold Resources is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on NovaGold Resources are associated (or correlated) with Hycroft Mining. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Hycroft Mining Holding has no effect on the direction of NovaGold Resources i.e., NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon NovaGold Resources is expected to under-perform the Hycroft Mining. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, NovaGold Resources is 3.21 times less risky than Hycroft Mining. The stock trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Hycroft Mining Holding is currently generating about 0.0 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2.30  in Hycroft Mining Holding on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (0.60) from holding Hycroft Mining Holding or give up 26.09% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

NovaGold Resources  vs.  Hycroft Mining Holding

 Performance 
       Timeline  
NovaGold Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days NovaGold Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.
Hycroft Mining Holding 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Hycroft Mining Holding has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent fundamental indicators, Hycroft Mining is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining

The main advantage of trading using opposite NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if NovaGold Resources position performs unexpectedly, Hycroft Mining can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hycroft Mining will offset losses from the drop in Hycroft Mining's long position.
The idea behind NovaGold Resources and Hycroft Mining Holding pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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