Correlation Between Novartis and Merck

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Novartis and Merck at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Novartis and Merck into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Novartis AG ADR and Merck Company, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Novartis and Merck and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Novartis with a short position of Merck. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Novartis and Merck.

Diversification Opportunities for Novartis and Merck

0.9

Correlation Coefficient

Novartis  Merck

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Novartis and Merck is 0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Novartis AG ADR and Merck Company in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merck Company and Novartis is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Novartis AG ADR are associated (or correlated) with Merck. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merck Company has no effect on the direction of Novartis i.e., Novartis and Merck go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Novartis and Merck

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Novartis AG ADR is expected to generate 0.81 times more return on investment than Merck. However, Novartis AG ADR is 1.23 times less risky than Merck. It trades about -0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Merck Company is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  11,850  in Novartis AG ADR on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,273) from holding Novartis AG ADR or give up 10.74% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Novartis AG ADR  vs.  Merck Company

Novartis AG ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Novartis AG ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the newest uproar on Wall Street may also be a sign of mid-term gains for the firm private investors.

Merck Company

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Merck Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest abnormal performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Pair Trading with Novartis and Merck

The main advantage of trading using opposite Novartis and Merck positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Novartis position performs unexpectedly, Merck can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merck will offset losses from the drop in Merck's long position.

The idea behind Novartis AG ADR and Merck Company pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.