Correlation Between Truist Financial and First Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Truist Financial and First Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Truist Financial and First Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Truist Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Truist Financial and First Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Truist Financial with a short position of First Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Truist Financial and First Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Truist Financial and First Guaranty

-0.38
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Truist and First is -0.38. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Truist Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Guaranty Bancshares and Truist Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Truist Financial are associated (or correlated) with First Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Guaranty Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Truist Financial i.e., Truist Financial and First Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Truist Financial and First Guaranty

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Truist Financial is expected to under-perform the First Guaranty. But the preferred stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Truist Financial is 1.29 times less risky than First Guaranty. The preferred stock trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The First Guaranty Bancshares is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,057  in First Guaranty Bancshares on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  83.00  from holding First Guaranty Bancshares or generate 4.04% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Truist Financial  vs.  First Guaranty Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Truist Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Truist Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest weak performance, the Preferred Stock's fundamental indicators remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors.
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable forward indicators, First Guaranty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Truist Financial and First Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Truist Financial and First Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Truist Financial and First Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Truist Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in First Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Truist Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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