Correlation Between Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Emerging Markets and Vanguard Small Cap Index, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Emerging with a short position of Vanguard Small. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small

0.22
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.22. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Emerging Markets and Vanguard Small Cap Index in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Small Cap and Vanguard Emerging is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Emerging Markets are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Small. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Emerging i.e., Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Emerging is expected to generate 3.9 times less return on investment than Vanguard Small. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Emerging Markets is 1.04 times less risky than Vanguard Small. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Small Cap Index is currently generating about 0.23 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,861  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,613  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 14.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Emerging Markets  vs.  Vanguard Small Cap Index

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Emerging Markets 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Emerging Markets are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Emerging is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Vanguard Small showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Emerging and Vanguard Small positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Emerging position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Small can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Small will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Small's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Emerging Markets and Vanguard Small Cap Index pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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