Correlation Between Valley National and US Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Valley National and US Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Valley National and US Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Valley National Bancorp and US Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Valley National and US Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Valley National with a short position of US Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Valley National and US Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Valley National and US Bancorp

-0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Valley and USB-PS is -0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Valley National Bancorp and US Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Bancorp and Valley National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Valley National Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with US Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Valley National i.e., Valley National and US Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Valley National and US Bancorp

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Valley National is expected to generate 1.41 times less return on investment than US Bancorp. In addition to that, Valley National is 2.29 times more volatile than US Bancorp. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. US Bancorp is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,687  in US Bancorp on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  405.00  from holding US Bancorp or generate 24.01% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Valley National Bancorp  vs.  US Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Valley National Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valley National Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly uncertain essential indicators, Valley National showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
US Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days US Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental drivers, US Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

Valley National and US Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Valley National and US Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Valley National and US Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Valley National position performs unexpectedly, US Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in US Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Valley National Bancorp and US Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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