Correlation Between Vanguard Developed and Government Securities

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Developed and Government Securities at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Developed and Government Securities into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Developed Markets and Government Securities Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Developed and Government Securities and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Developed with a short position of Government Securities. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Developed and Government Securities.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Developed and Government Securities

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between VANGUARD and Government is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Developed Markets and Government Securities Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Securities and Vanguard Developed is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Developed Markets are associated (or correlated) with Government Securities. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Developed i.e., Vanguard Developed and Government Securities go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Developed and Government Securities

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Developed Markets is expected to under-perform the Government Securities. In addition to that, Vanguard Developed is 3.23 times more volatile than Government Securities Fund. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Government Securities Fund is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  893.00  in Government Securities Fund on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (9.00) from holding Government Securities Fund or give up 1.01% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Developed Markets  vs.  Government Securities Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Developed 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Developed Markets has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Developed is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Government Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Government Securities Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Securities is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Developed and Government Securities Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Developed and Government Securities

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Developed and Government Securities positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Developed position performs unexpectedly, Government Securities can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Securities will offset losses from the drop in Government Securities' long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Developed Markets and Government Securities Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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