Correlation Between Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vintage Wine Estates and MGP Ingredients, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vintage Wine with a short position of MGP Ingredients. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients.

Diversification Opportunities for Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients

0.66
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vintage and MGP is 0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vintage Wine Estates and MGP Ingredients in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MGP Ingredients and Vintage Wine is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vintage Wine Estates are associated (or correlated) with MGP Ingredients. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MGP Ingredients has no effect on the direction of Vintage Wine i.e., Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vintage Wine Estates is expected to generate 5.37 times more return on investment than MGP Ingredients. However, Vintage Wine is 5.37 times more volatile than MGP Ingredients. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. MGP Ingredients is currently generating about -0.22 per unit of risk. If you would invest  0.39  in Vintage Wine Estates on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (0.19) from holding Vintage Wine Estates or give up 48.72% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy37.5%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vintage Wine Estates  vs.  MGP Ingredients

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vintage Wine Estates 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vintage Wine Estates has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
MGP Ingredients 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days MGP Ingredients has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.

Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vintage Wine and MGP Ingredients positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vintage Wine position performs unexpectedly, MGP Ingredients can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MGP Ingredients will offset losses from the drop in MGP Ingredients' long position.
The idea behind Vintage Wine Estates and MGP Ingredients pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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