Correlation Between Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Long Term Investment Grade and Taxable Municipal Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Long with a short position of Taxable Municipal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Taxable is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Long Term Investment and Taxable Municipal Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Taxable Municipal Bond and Vanguard Long is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Long Term Investment Grade are associated (or correlated) with Taxable Municipal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Taxable Municipal Bond has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Long i.e., Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Long Term Investment Grade is expected to under-perform the Taxable Municipal. In addition to that, Vanguard Long is 1.47 times more volatile than Taxable Municipal Bond. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Taxable Municipal Bond is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  764.00  in Taxable Municipal Bond on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (11.00) from holding Taxable Municipal Bond or give up 1.44% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy98.41%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Long Term Investment   vs.  Taxable Municipal Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Long Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Long Term Investment Grade has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Long is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Taxable Municipal Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Taxable Municipal Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, Taxable Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Long and Taxable Municipal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Long position performs unexpectedly, Taxable Municipal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Taxable Municipal will offset losses from the drop in Taxable Municipal's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Long Term Investment Grade and Taxable Municipal Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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