Geo Group Stock Performance
| GEO Stock | USD 28.69 0.86 3.09% |
Geo holds a performance score of 16 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 4.57, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Geo will likely underperform. Use Geo Group treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to analyze future returns on Geo Group.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
16 of 100
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Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Geo Group are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting technical and fundamental indicators, Geo displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.09 | Five Day Return (1.07) | Year To Date Return 166.64 | Ten Year Return 6.81 | All Time Return 2.8 K |
Last Split Factor 3:2 | Dividend Date 2021-02-01 | Ex Dividend Date 2021-01-22 | Last Split Date 2017-04-25 |
1 | GEO Group Unusual Options Activity For September 30 | 09/30/2024 |
2 | With 82 percent ownership, The GEO Group, Inc. boasts of strong institutional backing | 10/22/2024 |
3 | The GEO Group Inc Stock Price Up 13.21 percent on Nov 7 | 11/07/2024 |
4 | Earnings call The GEO Group reports steady Q3 2024 results, eyes growth | 11/08/2024 |
5 | Private prison stocks jump after Trump appoints immigration hardliner as border czar | 11/11/2024 |
6 | Northland Securities Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for The GEO Group Stock | 11/12/2024 |
7 | FMR LLC Reduces Stake in The GEO Group Inc | 11/13/2024 |
8 | Looking At GEO Groups Recent Unusual Options Activity | 11/19/2024 |
9 | Private prison firms contributed more than 1M to Trumps reelection. Now they expect a business boom | 11/20/2024 |
10 | Disposition of tradable shares by Christopher Ryan of Geo subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/21/2024 |
11 | The GEO Group Inc Trading 3.36 percent Higher on Nov 27 | 11/27/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 143.8 M |
Geo |
Geo Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,387 in Geo Group on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,482 from holding Geo Group or generate 106.85% return on investment over 90 days. Geo Group is generating 1.3166% of daily returns assuming volatility of 6.148% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 54% of stocks are less volatile than Geo, and above 74% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Geo Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Geo's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Geo Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Geo's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.2142
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
| Good Returns | ||||
| Average Returns | GEO | |||
| Small Returns | ||||
| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns |
Estimated Market Risk
| 6.15 actual daily | 54 54% of assets are less volatile |
Expected Return
| 1.32 actual daily | 26 74% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.21 actual daily | 16 84% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Geo is performing at about 16% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Geo by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Geo Fundamentals Growth
Geo Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Geo, and Geo fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Geo Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0323 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0555 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.62 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 139.83 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 11.19 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.96 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.65 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.41 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 713 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 478.17 M | ||||
| Net Income | 107.33 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 95.07 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.88 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.89 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.79 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 9.68 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 284.93 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.29 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.01 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.7 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 103.09 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 91.04 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 438.35 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 278.62 M | ||||
About Geo Performance
By examining Geo's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Geo's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Geo is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 5.19 | 8.88 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.04 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.08 | 0.14 |
Things to note about Geo Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Geo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Geo Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Geo Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Geo Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Geo Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Geo Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The GEO Group Inc Trading 3.36 percent Higher on Nov 27 |
- Analyzing Geo's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Geo's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Geo's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Geo's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Geo's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Geo's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Geo's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. If investors know Geo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Geo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.188 | Earnings Share 0.29 | Revenue Per Share 18.972 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 | Return On Assets 0.0555 |
The market value of Geo Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Geo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Geo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Geo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Geo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Geo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Geo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.