Guggenheim Total Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GIBAX Fund  USD 23.94  0.08  0.34%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0409, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guggenheim Total are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guggenheim Total is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
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Over the last 90 days Guggenheim Total Return has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Guggenheim Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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1
Guggenheim Total Return Bond Fund Q2 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
09/25/2024
2
Evercore ISI Group Downgrades Jackson Financial Inc. - Preferred Stock - MSN
11/14/2024
Expense Ratio0.9100
  

Guggenheim Total Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,417  in Guggenheim Total Return on September 6, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (23.00) from holding Guggenheim Total Return or give up 0.95% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guggenheim Total Return is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.2862% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guggenheim, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guggenheim Total is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.57 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.24 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Guggenheim Total Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
23.94
Please note that Guggenheim Total's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Guggenheim Total Return retains a regular Real Value of $23.34 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $23.94. We determine the value of Guggenheim Total Return from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guggenheim Total is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guggenheim Mutual Fund. However, Guggenheim Total's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  23.94 Real  23.34 Hype  23.94 Naive  24.07
The intrinsic value of Guggenheim Total's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guggenheim Total's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
23.34
Real Value
26.33
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guggenheim Total Return helps investors to forecast how Guggenheim mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guggenheim Total more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guggenheim Total's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.7123.8323.96
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.6523.9424.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
23.7824.0724.36
Details

Guggenheim Total Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Total's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Guggenheim Total Return, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guggenheim Total's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0516

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsGIBAX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.29
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guggenheim Total is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guggenheim Total by adding Guggenheim Total to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guggenheim Total Fundamentals Growth

Guggenheim Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guggenheim Total, and Guggenheim Total fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guggenheim Mutual Fund performance.

About Guggenheim Total Performance

Evaluating Guggenheim Total's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guggenheim Total has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guggenheim Total has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in debt securities. While the fund will principally invest in debt securities listed, traded or dealt in developed markets countries globally, it may also invest without limitation in securities listed, traded or dealt in other countries, including emerging markets countries.

Things to note about Guggenheim Total Return performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guggenheim Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guggenheim Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guggenheim Total generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Evercore ISI Group Downgrades Jackson Financial Inc. - Preferred Stock - MSN
The fund generated three year return of -2.0%
Guggenheim Total Return retains about 9.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating Guggenheim Total's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guggenheim Total's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guggenheim Total's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guggenheim Total's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guggenheim Total's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guggenheim Total's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guggenheim Total's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guggenheim Total's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guggenheim Total's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guggenheim Total's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guggenheim Total's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Total security.
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