Rational Special Situations Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

RFXCX Fund  USD 18.09  0.01  0.06%   
The fund holds a Beta of 0.0156, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Rational Special's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Rational Special is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

20 of 100

 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Rational Special Situations are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Rational Special is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio2.7600
  

Rational Special Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,785  in Rational Special Situations on September 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  24.00  from holding Rational Special Situations or generate 1.34% return on investment over 90 days. Rational Special Situations is currently producing 0.0212% returns and takes up 0.0816% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Rational, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Special is expected to generate 2.62 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 8.89 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Rational Special Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
18.09
Please note that Rational Special's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Rational Special Sit holds a recent Real Value of $16.62 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $18.09. We determine the value of Rational Special Sit from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Rational Special is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rational Mutual Fund. However, Rational Special's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  18.09 Real  16.62 Hype  18.09 Naive  18.05
The intrinsic value of Rational Special's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rational Special's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
16.62
Real Value
19.90
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rational Special Situations helps investors to forecast how Rational mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rational Special more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rational Special's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.7917.9818.17
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0118.0918.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.9718.0518.13
Details

Rational Special Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rational Special's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Rational Special Situations, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Rational Special's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2603

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RFXCX
Based on monthly moving average Rational Special is performing at about 20% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Rational Special by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Rational Special Fundamentals Growth

Rational Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rational Special, and Rational Special fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rational Mutual Fund performance.

About Rational Special Performance

Evaluating Rational Special's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Rational Special has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rational Special has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by primarily investing in agency and non-agency residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities, with a focus on non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities. It does not limit its investments to a particular credit quality and may invest without limitation in debt securities rated below investment grade . The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Rational Special Sit performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rational Special for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Rational Special Sit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.91% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Rational Special's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rational Special's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Rational Special's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rational Special's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rational Special's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rational Special's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rational Special's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rational Special's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Rational Special's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rational Special's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rational Special's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Rational Mutual Fund

Rational Special financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rational Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rational with respect to the benefits of owning Rational Special security.
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