Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SAOAX Fund  USD 21.89  0.02  0.09%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guggenheim Alpha's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guggenheim Alpha is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Guggenheim Alpha is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio1.7100
  

Guggenheim Alpha Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,158  in Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  31.00  from holding Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity or generate 1.44% return on investment over 90 days. Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity is currently producing 0.0243% returns and takes up 0.5883% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guggenheim, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guggenheim Alpha is expected to generate 4.32 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.25 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Guggenheim Alpha Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
21.89
Please note that Guggenheim Alpha's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Guggenheim Alpha Opp retains a regular Real Value of $21.95 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $21.89. We determine the value of Guggenheim Alpha Opp from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guggenheim Alpha is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guggenheim Mutual Fund. However, Guggenheim Alpha's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  21.89 Real  21.95 Hype  21.89 Naive  21.43
The intrinsic value of Guggenheim Alpha's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guggenheim Alpha's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
21.95
Real Value
22.54
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity helps investors to forecast how Guggenheim mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guggenheim Alpha more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guggenheim Alpha's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.6622.2122.75
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3021.8922.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.8421.4322.02
Details

Guggenheim Alpha Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Alpha's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guggenheim Alpha's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0414

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Negative ReturnsSAOAX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.59
  actual daily
5
95% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.04
  actual daily
3
97% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guggenheim Alpha is performing at about 3% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guggenheim Alpha by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guggenheim Alpha Fundamentals Growth

Guggenheim Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guggenheim Alpha, and Guggenheim Alpha fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guggenheim Mutual Fund performance.

About Guggenheim Alpha Performance

Evaluating Guggenheim Alpha's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guggenheim Alpha has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guggenheim Alpha has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund pursues its objective by investing in long and short positions of domestic equity and equity-related securities. The fund will ordinarily hold simultaneous long and short positions in equity securities or securities markets that provide exposure up to a level equal to 150 percent of the funds net assets for both the long and short positions.

Things to note about Guggenheim Alpha Opp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guggenheim Alpha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guggenheim Alpha Opp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 93.95% of its assets in stocks
Evaluating Guggenheim Alpha's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guggenheim Alpha's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guggenheim Alpha's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guggenheim Alpha's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guggenheim Alpha's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guggenheim Alpha's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guggenheim Alpha's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guggenheim Alpha's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guggenheim Alpha's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guggenheim Alpha's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guggenheim Alpha's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Alpha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Alpha security.
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