Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

URPSX Fund  USD 8.38  0.10  1.18%   
The entity has a beta of -1.66, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ultrabear Profund are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Ultrabear Profund is expected to outperform it.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
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Expense Ratio2.7800
  

Ultrabear Profund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,011  in Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (163.00) from holding Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear or give up 16.12% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.4249% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 12% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Ultrabear, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultrabear Profund is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.91 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.21 per unit of volatility.

Ultrabear Profund Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
8.38
Please note that Ultrabear Profund's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Ultrabear Profund has a current Real Value of $7.89 per share. The regular price of the fund is $8.38. We determine the value of Ultrabear Profund from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Ultrabear Profund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ultrabear Mutual Fund. However, Ultrabear Profund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.38 Real  7.89 Hype  8.38 Naive  8.4
The intrinsic value of Ultrabear Profund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Ultrabear Profund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.89
Real Value
9.31
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear helps investors to forecast how Ultrabear mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ultrabear Profund more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ultrabear Profund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.478.648.81
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.968.389.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.978.409.82
Details

Ultrabear Profund Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ultrabear Profund's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Ultrabear Profund Ultrabear, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ultrabear Profund's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1855

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Negative ReturnsURPSX

Estimated Market Risk

 1.42
  actual daily
12
88% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.26
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.19
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Ultrabear Profund is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ultrabear Profund by adding Ultrabear Profund to a well-diversified portfolio.

Ultrabear Profund Fundamentals Growth

Ultrabear Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ultrabear Profund, and Ultrabear Profund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ultrabear Mutual Fund performance.

About Ultrabear Profund Performance

Evaluating Ultrabear Profund's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Ultrabear Profund has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ultrabear Profund has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in financial instruments that the fund Advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. It is a market capitalization-weighted index of 500 U.S. operating companies and real estate investment trusts selected through a process that factors in criteria such as liquidity, price, market capitalization, financial viability and public float. It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Ultrabear Profund performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ultrabear Profund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Ultrabear Profund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ultrabear Profund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
This fund generated-30.0 ten year return of -30.0%
Ultrabear Profund keeps about 112.34% of its net assets in cash
Evaluating Ultrabear Profund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ultrabear Profund's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Ultrabear Profund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ultrabear Profund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ultrabear Profund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ultrabear Profund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ultrabear Profund's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ultrabear Profund's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Ultrabear Profund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ultrabear Profund's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ultrabear Profund's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Ultrabear Mutual Fund

Ultrabear Profund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ultrabear Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ultrabear with respect to the benefits of owning Ultrabear Profund security.
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