Vanguard Total Bond Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VTBNX Fund  USD 9.35  0.02  0.21%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0072, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Vanguard Total's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vanguard Total is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio0.0200
  

Vanguard Total Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  968.00  in Vanguard Total Bond on September 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (33.00) from holding Vanguard Total Bond or give up 3.41% of portfolio value over 90 days. Vanguard Total Bond is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.3197% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Total is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.53 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Vanguard Total Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.35
Please note that Vanguard Total's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Vanguard Total Bond has a current Real Value of $9.21 per share. The regular price of the fund is $9.35. We determine the value of Vanguard Total Bond from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Total is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Total's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.35 Real  9.21 Hype  9.35 Naive  9.22
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Total's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Total's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.21
Real Value
9.53
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Total Bond helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Total more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Total's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.659.4710.29
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.039.359.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.909.229.54
Details

Vanguard Total Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Total's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Vanguard Total Bond, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Vanguard Total's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1706

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Negative ReturnsVTBNX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.32
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.17
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Vanguard Total is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Vanguard Total by adding Vanguard Total to a well-diversified portfolio.

Vanguard Total Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Total, and Vanguard Total fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset217.92 B

About Vanguard Total Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Total's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Total has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Total has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index. It invests by sampling the index, meaning that it holds a broadly diversified collection of securities that, in the aggregate, approximates the full index in terms of key risk factors and other characteristics. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in bonds held in the index.

Things to note about Vanguard Total Bond performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Total Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vanguard Total Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vanguard Total Bond generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund keeps about 7.86% of its net assets in bonds
Evaluating Vanguard Total's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Total's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Total's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Total's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Total's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Total's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Total's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Total's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Total's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Total's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Total's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Total security.
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