Aon Plc Stock Price Prediction
| AON Stock | USD 391.54 1.77 0.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.29 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.4372 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.4207 | Wall Street Target Price 386.6667 |
Using Aon PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aon PLC from the perspective of Aon PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Aon PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aon PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aon PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aon PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aon PLC.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aon PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aon PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 391.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aon |
Aon PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aon PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aon PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aon PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aon PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aon PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aon PLC's historical news coverage. Aon PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 390.53 and 392.75, respectively. We have considered Aon PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aon PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aon PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aon PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aon PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aon PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aon PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.11 | 0.10 | 1.26 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
391.54 | 391.64 | 0.03 |
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Aon PLC Hype Timeline
On the 30th of November Aon PLC is traded for 391.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.26. Aon is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 391.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Aon PLC is about 17.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 390.28. The company reported the last year's revenue of 13.38 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.56 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.82 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Aon PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aon PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aon PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aon PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Aon PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aon PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AJG | Arthur J Gallagher | 3.19 | 8 per month | 1.14 | (0.02) | 2.16 | (1.61) | 5.31 | |
| BRO | Brown Brown | (1.10) | 10 per month | 0.94 | (0.0001) | 1.88 | (2.06) | 5.25 | |
| WTW | Willis Towers Watson | (2.81) | 10 per month | 0.69 | 0.03 | 1.80 | (1.63) | 4.68 | |
| ERIE | Erie Indemnity | (36.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.09 | (3.12) | 10.81 | |
| MMC | Marsh McLennan Companies | 2.26 | 10 per month | 0.80 | (0.1) | 1.25 | (1.31) | 3.78 | |
| CRVL | CorVel Corp | (3.30) | 10 per month | 1.30 | 0.05 | 3.26 | (2.24) | 13.47 |
Aon PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aon PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aon PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aon PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aon PLC based on analysis of Aon PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aon PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aon PLC's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006619 | 0.007287 | 0.007844 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.54 | 5.09 | 4.65 |
Story Coverage note for Aon PLC
The number of cover stories for Aon PLC depends on current market conditions and Aon PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aon PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aon PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aon PLC Short Properties
Aon PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aon PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aon PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aon PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aon PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 205 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Aon PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Aon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aon PLC guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Insurance Brokers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aon PLC. If investors know Aon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aon PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | Dividend Share 2.58 | Earnings Share 11.68 | Revenue Per Share 71.993 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.26 |
The market value of Aon PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aon PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aon PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aon PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aon PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aon PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aon PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aon PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.