Bel Fuse B Stock Price Prediction
| BELFB Stock | USD 78.95 0.75 0.94% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.96 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.35 | Wall Street Target Price 93.6667 |
Using Bel Fuse hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bel Fuse B from the perspective of Bel Fuse response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bel Fuse using Bel Fuse's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bel Fuse's stock price.
Bel Fuse Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
Bel Fuse's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bel Fuse B stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bel Fuse's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bel Fuse stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bel Fuse's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bel Fuse to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bel Fuse after-hype prediction price | USD 78.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bel contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bel Fuse B will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Bel Fuse trading at USD 78.95, that is roughly USD 0.0454 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bel Fuse's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bel Fuse B options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Bel |
Bel Fuse After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bel Fuse at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bel Fuse or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bel Fuse, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bel Fuse Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bel Fuse's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bel Fuse's historical news coverage. Bel Fuse's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.51 and 81.31, respectively. We have considered Bel Fuse's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bel Fuse is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bel Fuse B is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bel Fuse Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bel Fuse is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bel Fuse backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bel Fuse, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 2.90 | 0.54 | 0.22 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.95 | 78.41 | 0.68 |
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Bel Fuse Hype Timeline
Bel Fuse B is currently traded for 78.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. Bel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 78.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 193.33%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.68%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Bel Fuse is about 477.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.17. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Bel Fuse was currently reported as 29.28. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2025. Bel Fuse B had 2:1 split on the 2nd of December 1999. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Bel Fuse Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bel Fuse Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bel Fuse's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bel Fuse's future price movements. Getting to know how Bel Fuse's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bel Fuse may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | (0.29) | 8 per month | 1.79 | 0.04 | 3.16 | (3.84) | 13.28 | |
| MEI | Methode Electronics | 0.22 | 11 per month | 3.24 | 0.02 | 7.64 | (5.30) | 18.54 | |
| RELL | Richardson Electronics | (0.05) | 10 per month | 1.24 | 0.09 | 3.38 | (1.91) | 11.38 | |
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | (1.57) | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.13 | 3.38 | (1.91) | 12.92 | |
| BELFA | Bel Fuse A | 0.04 | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.03 | 2.68 | (2.61) | 17.70 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | (0.23) | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.08 | 3.51 | (2.91) | 9.44 | |
| SANM | Sanmina | 5.67 | 7 per month | 1.40 | 0.04 | 2.35 | (2.64) | 15.90 | |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 1.63 | 9 per month | 1.68 | 0.03 | 2.78 | (2.79) | 15.09 | |
| VIAO | Via Optronics Ag | 0.05 | 4 per month | 19.78 | 0.07 | 66.67 | (46.43) | 232.14 |
Bel Fuse Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Bel Fuse Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bel Fuse stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bel Fuse B, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bel Fuse based on analysis of Bel Fuse hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bel Fuse's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bel Fuse's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0185 | 0.007266 | 0.004094 | 0.00808 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.34 | 0.72 | 1.33 | 1.82 |
Story Coverage note for Bel Fuse
The number of cover stories for Bel Fuse depends on current market conditions and Bel Fuse's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bel Fuse is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bel Fuse's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bel Fuse Short Properties
Bel Fuse's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bel Fuse's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bel Fuse B often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bel Fuse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bel Fuse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Bel Stock analysis
When running Bel Fuse's price analysis, check to measure Bel Fuse's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bel Fuse is operating at the current time. Most of Bel Fuse's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bel Fuse's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bel Fuse's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bel Fuse to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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