Saul Centers Stock Price Prediction

BFS Stock  USD 41.11  0.19  0.46%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Saul Centers' share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Saul Centers, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Saul Centers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Saul Centers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Saul Centers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Saul Centers, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Saul Centers' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.152
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.32
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.36
Wall Street Target Price
45.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.43
Using Saul Centers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Saul Centers from the perspective of Saul Centers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Saul Centers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Saul because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Saul Centers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 41.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Saul Centers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Saul Stock please use our How to Invest in Saul Centers guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.7340.8541.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.9341.0442.16
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.3141.0045.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.310.310.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Saul Centers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Saul Centers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Saul Centers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Saul Centers.

Saul Centers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Saul Centers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Saul Centers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Saul Centers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Saul Centers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Saul Centers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Saul Centers' historical news coverage. Saul Centers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.98 and 42.22, respectively. We have considered Saul Centers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
41.11
41.10
After-hype Price
42.22
Upside
Saul Centers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Saul Centers is based on 3 months time horizon.

Saul Centers Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Saul Centers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Saul Centers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Saul Centers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
1.12
  0.01 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
41.11
41.10
0.02 
933.33  
Notes

Saul Centers Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Saul Centers is traded for 41.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Saul is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 41.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Saul Centers is about 24640.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.11. About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of October 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Saul Centers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Saul Stock please use our How to Invest in Saul Centers guide.

Saul Centers Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Saul Centers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Saul Centers' future price movements. Getting to know how Saul Centers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Saul Centers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UEUrban Edge Properties(0.21)9 per month 0.83  0.03  1.78 (1.57) 4.48 
RPTRPT Realty 0.00 0 per month 1.25  0.08  3.38 (2.21) 8.44 
SITCSite Centers Corp(0.04)7 per month 1.20  0.07  2.60 (2.81) 48.55 
KRGKite Realty Group 0.29 8 per month 0.86 (0.03) 1.56 (1.50) 4.33 
AKRAcadia Realty Trust 0.10 7 per month 0.79  0.09  1.97 (1.64) 4.62 
ROICRetail Opportunity Investments(0.01)9 per month 0.65  0.03  1.93 (1.37) 9.01 
UBAUrstadt Biddle Properties 0.15 7 per month 0.66  0.12  2.38 (1.68) 20.63 
REGRegency Centers 0.29 10 per month 0.85 (0.04) 1.32 (1.68) 4.55 
IVTInventrust Properties Corp(0.45)10 per month 1.04 (0.03) 1.83 (1.64) 4.89 
BRXBrixmor Property 0.02 10 per month 0.70  0.02  1.94 (1.47) 4.59 
NTSTNetstreit Corp(0.19)9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.82 (1.93) 7.23 

Saul Centers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Saul price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Saul using various technical indicators. When you analyze Saul charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Saul Centers Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Saul Centers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Saul Centers, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Saul Centers based on analysis of Saul Centers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Saul Centers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Saul Centers's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04960.06840.05170.0821
Price To Sales Ratio5.243.975.113.73

Story Coverage note for Saul Centers

The number of cover stories for Saul Centers depends on current market conditions and Saul Centers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Saul Centers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Saul Centers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Saul Centers Short Properties

Saul Centers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Saul Centers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Saul Centers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Saul Centers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saul Centers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.4 M

Additional Tools for Saul Stock Analysis

When running Saul Centers' price analysis, check to measure Saul Centers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saul Centers is operating at the current time. Most of Saul Centers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saul Centers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saul Centers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saul Centers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.