CIMB Thai (Thailand) Price Prediction
| CIMBT Stock | THB 0.48 0.01 2.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Using CIMB Thai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CIMB Thai Bank from the perspective of CIMB Thai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CIMB Thai to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CIMB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CIMB Thai after-hype prediction price | THB 0.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CIMB |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CIMB Thai's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CIMB Thai After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CIMB Thai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CIMB Thai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CIMB Thai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CIMB Thai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CIMB Thai's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CIMB Thai's historical news coverage. CIMB Thai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 2.08, respectively. We have considered CIMB Thai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CIMB Thai is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CIMB Thai Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
CIMB Thai Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CIMB Thai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CIMB Thai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CIMB Thai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.48 | 0.48 | 0.00 |
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CIMB Thai Hype Timeline
CIMB Thai Bank is currently traded for 0.48on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CIMB is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on CIMB Thai is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.48. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CIMB Thai Bank has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 355.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of April 2022. The firm had 737:703 split on the 8th of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out CIMB Thai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CIMB Thai Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CIMB Thai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CIMB Thai's future price movements. Getting to know how CIMB Thai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CIMB Thai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAY | Bank of Ayudhya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.81 | (1.85) | 4.79 | |
| KTB | Krung Thai Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | (0.03) | 1.49 | (1.48) | 6.19 | |
| KKP | Kiatnakin Phatra Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | (0) | 2.00 | (1.94) | 10.37 | |
| AAV | Asia Aviation Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | 0.07 | 4.29 | (2.78) | 13.03 | |
| CHG | Chularat Hospital Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.82 | (3.65) | 8.48 |
CIMB Thai Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CIMB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CIMB using various technical indicators. When you analyze CIMB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CIMB Thai Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CIMB Thai stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CIMB Thai Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CIMB Thai based on analysis of CIMB Thai hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CIMB Thai's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CIMB Thai's related companies.
Story Coverage note for CIMB Thai
The number of cover stories for CIMB Thai depends on current market conditions and CIMB Thai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CIMB Thai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CIMB Thai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CIMB Thai Short Properties
CIMB Thai's future price predictability will typically decrease when CIMB Thai's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CIMB Thai Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CIMB Thai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CIMB Thai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.8 B |
Complementary Tools for CIMB Stock analysis
When running CIMB Thai's price analysis, check to measure CIMB Thai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CIMB Thai is operating at the current time. Most of CIMB Thai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CIMB Thai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CIMB Thai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CIMB Thai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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