Galp Energa Stock Price Prediction
| GLPEY Stock | USD 8.90 0.07 0.79% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Galp Energa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Galp Energa from the perspective of Galp Energa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Galp Energa to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Galp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Galp Energa after-hype prediction price | USD 8.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Galp |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galp Energa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Galp Energa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Galp Energa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Galp Energa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Galp Energa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Galp Energa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Galp Energa's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Galp Energa's historical news coverage. Galp Energa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.35 and 10.45, respectively. We have considered Galp Energa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Galp Energa is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Galp Energa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Galp Energa Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Galp Energa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Galp Energa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Galp Energa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.55 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.90 | 8.90 | 0.00 |
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Galp Energa Hype Timeline
Galp Energa is currently traded for 8.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Galp is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Galp Energa is about 1370.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.89. The book value of the company was currently reported as 2.56. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Galp Energa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Galp Energa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Galp Energa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Galp Energa's future price movements. Getting to know how Galp Energa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Galp Energa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHEL | Shell PLC ADR | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.47 | (2.25) | 5.88 | |
| EQNR | Equinor ASA ADR | (0.19) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.30 | (3.69) | 8.46 | |
| BP | BP PLC ADR | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.70 | (3.34) | 7.70 | |
| E | Eni SpA ADR | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.51 | (2.19) | 4.90 | |
| MGYOY | MOL PLC ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.40 | (2.02) | 6.85 | |
| PUTRY | PTT PCL ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.26 | |
| OMVKY | OMV AG PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.06 | (1.85) | 6.10 | |
| UNTCW | Unit Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.57 | 0.13 | 52.78 | (36.17) | 106.67 | |
| EIPAF | Eni SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.86 | (4.19) | 18.87 | |
| BPAQF | BP plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.40 | (3.14) | 10.81 | |
| STOHF | Equinor ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.61 | (0.04) | 3.94 | (5.37) | 10.01 | |
| SNPMF | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.54 | 0.02 | 7.55 | (5.26) | 18.12 | |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil Corp | (0.97) | 9 per month | 1.18 | (0.07) | 1.83 | (1.96) | 6.06 |
Galp Energa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Galp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Galp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Galp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Galp Energa Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Galp Energa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Galp Energa, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Galp Energa based on analysis of Galp Energa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Galp Energa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Galp Energa's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Galp Energa
The number of cover stories for Galp Energa depends on current market conditions and Galp Energa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Galp Energa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Galp Energa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Galp Energa Short Properties
Galp Energa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Galp Energa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Galp Energa often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Galp Energa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galp Energa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Additional Tools for Galp Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Galp Energa's price analysis, check to measure Galp Energa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galp Energa is operating at the current time. Most of Galp Energa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galp Energa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galp Energa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galp Energa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.