Gladstone Commercial Corp Preferred Stock Price Prediction
| GOODO Preferred Stock | USD 21.57 0.08 0.37% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gladstone Commercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gladstone Commercial Corp from the perspective of Gladstone Commercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gladstone Commercial to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gladstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gladstone Commercial after-hype prediction price | USD 21.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gladstone |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gladstone Commercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gladstone Commercial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gladstone Commercial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gladstone Commercial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Gladstone Commercial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gladstone Commercial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gladstone Commercial's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gladstone Commercial's historical news coverage. Gladstone Commercial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.96 and 22.18, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Commercial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gladstone Commercial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gladstone Commercial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gladstone Commercial Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gladstone Commercial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gladstone Commercial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gladstone Commercial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
21.57 | 21.57 | 0.00 |
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Gladstone Commercial Hype Timeline
Gladstone Commercial Corp is currently traded for 21.57. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Gladstone is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gladstone Commercial is about 847.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.58. About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 637.24. Gladstone Commercial Corp last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Gladstone Commercial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gladstone Commercial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gladstone Commercial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gladstone Commercial's future price movements. Getting to know how Gladstone Commercial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gladstone Commercial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GOODN | Gladstone Commercial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | (0.04) | 1.42 | (0.75) | 3.94 | |
| BPOPM | Popular Capital Trust | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.57 | (0.10) | 1.10 | (1.13) | 2.87 | |
| OXLCO | Oxford Lane Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | (0.21) | 0.96 | (0.62) | 2.34 | |
| HOVNP | Hovnanian Enterprises PFD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.23 | (0.25) | 0.80 | (0.45) | 2.45 | |
| GLBZ | Glen Burnie Bancorp | 0.33 | 5 per month | 2.59 | 0.03 | 8.07 | (5.64) | 17.28 |
Gladstone Commercial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gladstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gladstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gladstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gladstone Commercial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gladstone Commercial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gladstone Commercial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gladstone Commercial based on analysis of Gladstone Commercial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gladstone Commercial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gladstone Commercial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Gladstone Commercial
The number of cover stories for Gladstone Commercial depends on current market conditions and Gladstone Commercial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gladstone Commercial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gladstone Commercial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gladstone Commercial Short Properties
Gladstone Commercial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gladstone Commercial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gladstone Commercial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gladstone Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Gladstone Preferred Stock
Gladstone Commercial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gladstone Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gladstone with respect to the benefits of owning Gladstone Commercial security.