Horizon Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| HBNC Stock | USD 18.40 0.19 1.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.108 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4117 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.685 | Wall Street Target Price 19.4 |
Using Horizon Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Horizon Bancorp from the perspective of Horizon Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Horizon Bancorp using Horizon Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Horizon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Horizon Bancorp's stock price.
Horizon Bancorp Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Horizon Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Horizon Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Horizon Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Horizon Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Horizon Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Horizon Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Horizon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Horizon Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 18.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Horizon |
Horizon Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Horizon Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Horizon Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Horizon Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Horizon Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Horizon Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Horizon Bancorp's historical news coverage. Horizon Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.00 and 20.88, respectively. We have considered Horizon Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Horizon Bancorp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Horizon Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Horizon Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Horizon Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Horizon Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Horizon Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.44 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.40 | 18.44 | 0.22 |
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Horizon Bancorp Hype Timeline
Horizon Bancorp is currently traded for 18.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Horizon is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Horizon Bancorp is about 610.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.29. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 220.47 M. Net Income was 27.98 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 245.55 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Horizon Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Horizon Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Horizon Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Horizon Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Horizon Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Horizon Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.12 | 0.01 | 2.53 | (2.16) | 9.14 | |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial | 0.1 | 7 per month | 1.54 | 0.08 | 3.20 | (2.17) | 19.67 | |
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.15) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.11 | 4.29 | (3.19) | 13.15 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.76 | (0.12) | 1.65 | (1.13) | 4.32 | |
| BSRR | Sierra Bancorp | (0.15) | 8 per month | 2.31 | 0.01 | 3.75 | (3.15) | 26.66 | |
| GABC | German American Bancorp | (0.54) | 8 per month | 1.20 | 0.04 | 2.72 | (2.21) | 16.97 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | (0.05) | 9 per month | 1.85 | 0.01 | 3.41 | (3.32) | 19.09 | |
| NBHC | National Bank Holdings | (0.92) | 9 per month | 1.62 | 0.04 | 2.64 | (2.64) | 17.64 | |
| FBNC | First Bancorp | (1.69) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.05 | 3.37 | (2.51) | 16.50 |
Horizon Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Horizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Horizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Horizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Horizon Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Horizon Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Horizon Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Horizon Bancorp based on analysis of Horizon Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Horizon Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Horizon Bancorp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0271 | 0.0423 | 0.0453 | 0.0347 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.0 | 2.72 | 3.37 | 3.3 |
Story Coverage note for Horizon Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Horizon Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Horizon Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Horizon Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Horizon Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Horizon Bancorp Short Properties
Horizon Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Horizon Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Horizon Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Horizon Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Horizon Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -519.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Horizon Stock analysis
When running Horizon Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Horizon Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Horizon Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Horizon Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Horizon Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Horizon Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Horizon Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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