Intrepid Income Fund Price Prediction
| ICMUX Fund | USD 9.05 0.04 0.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Intrepid Income hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intrepid Income Fund from the perspective of Intrepid Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Intrepid Income to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying INTREPID because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Intrepid Income after-hype prediction price | USD 9.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
INTREPID |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intrepid Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrepid Income After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Intrepid Income at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intrepid Income or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Intrepid Income, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Intrepid Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Intrepid Income's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intrepid Income's historical news coverage. Intrepid Income's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.98 and 9.20, respectively. We have considered Intrepid Income's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Intrepid Income is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intrepid Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Intrepid Income Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Intrepid Income is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intrepid Income backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intrepid Income, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.05 | 9.09 | 0.00 |
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Intrepid Income Hype Timeline
Intrepid Income is currently traded for 9.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. INTREPID is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intrepid Income is about 7200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.05. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Intrepid Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Intrepid Income Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Intrepid Income's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intrepid Income's future price movements. Getting to know how Intrepid Income's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intrepid Income may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OWSBX | Old Westbury Short Term | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.18) | 0.20 | (0.10) | 0.49 | |
| AOUNX | Angel Oak Ultrashort | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.12) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 0.61 | |
| QLENX | Aqr Long Short Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | (0.11) | 0.76 | (0.57) | 2.17 | |
| VISTX | Vanguard Institutional Short Term | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.06 | (1.28) | 0.15 | (0.15) | 0.53 | |
| JSNIX | Jhancock Short Duration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.03) | 0.21 | (0.11) | 0.64 | |
| SWSFX | Ultra Short Fixed Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (1.59) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 0.49 |
Intrepid Income Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine INTREPID price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for INTREPID using various technical indicators. When you analyze INTREPID charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Intrepid Income Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Intrepid Income stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Intrepid Income Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Intrepid Income based on analysis of Intrepid Income hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Intrepid Income's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Intrepid Income's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Intrepid Income
The number of cover stories for Intrepid Income depends on current market conditions and Intrepid Income's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intrepid Income is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intrepid Income's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Other Information on Investing in INTREPID Mutual Fund
Intrepid Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether INTREPID Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INTREPID with respect to the benefits of owning Intrepid Income security.
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