Iris Energy Stock Price Prediction
| IREN Stock | USD 12.40 2.84 29.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.13 | Wall Street Target Price 17.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.03 |
Using Iris Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Iris Energy from the perspective of Iris Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Iris Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Iris because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Iris Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 11.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Iris |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Iris Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Iris Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Iris Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Iris Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Iris Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Iris Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Iris Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Iris Energy's historical news coverage. Iris Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.96 and 19.36, respectively. We have considered Iris Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Iris Energy is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Iris Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Iris Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Iris Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Iris Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Iris Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.21 | 7.70 | 0.74 | 0.39 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.40 | 11.66 | 5.97 |
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Iris Energy Hype Timeline
Iris Energy is currently traded for 12.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.39. Iris is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -5.97%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.21%. The volatility of related hype on Iris Energy is about 2395.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.01. About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Iris Energy was currently reported as 5.84. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.48. Iris Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Iris Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Iris Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Iris Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Iris Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Iris Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Iris Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.25) | 11 per month | 0.56 | 0.17 | 1.57 | (1.56) | 7.23 | |
| CBTN | Citizens Bancorp Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | (0.05) | 2.15 | (2.10) | 14.50 | |
| VALN | Valneva SE ADR | 0.11 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 3.20 | (5.86) | 12.07 | |
| LPCN | Lipocine | 0.09 | 5 per month | 4.50 | 0.07 | 7.08 | (6.20) | 27.84 | |
| ALDFU | Aldel Financial II | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.08 | (1.13) | 0.20 | (0.10) | 0.40 | |
| MMSI | Merit Medical Systems | 0.25 | 11 per month | 0.77 | 0.03 | 2.11 | (1.23) | 6.42 | |
| RDNT | RadNet Inc | (2.42) | 9 per month | 1.83 | 0.09 | 3.77 | (2.61) | 22.33 |
Iris Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Iris price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Iris using various technical indicators. When you analyze Iris charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Iris Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Iris Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Iris Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Iris Energy based on analysis of Iris Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Iris Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Iris Energy's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.81 | 0.77 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 20.18 | 21.19 |
Story Coverage note for Iris Energy
The number of cover stories for Iris Energy depends on current market conditions and Iris Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Iris Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Iris Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Iris Energy Short Properties
Iris Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Iris Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Iris Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Iris Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iris Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 411.1 M |
Check out Iris Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Iris Stock, please use our How to Invest in Iris Energy guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Iris Energy. If investors know Iris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Iris Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.48) | Revenue Per Share 1.894 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.679 | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (0.04) |
The market value of Iris Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Iris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Iris Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Iris Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Iris Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Iris Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Iris Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Iris Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Iris Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.