Lionsgate Studios Corp Stock Price Prediction
| LION Stock | USD 6.98 0.22 3.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Year 0.45 | Wall Street Target Price 10.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.09) |
Using Lionsgate Studios hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lionsgate Studios Corp from the perspective of Lionsgate Studios response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lionsgate Studios to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lionsgate because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lionsgate Studios after-hype prediction price | USD 6.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lionsgate |
Lionsgate Studios After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lionsgate Studios at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lionsgate Studios or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lionsgate Studios, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lionsgate Studios Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lionsgate Studios' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lionsgate Studios' historical news coverage. Lionsgate Studios' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.05 and 8.91, respectively. We have considered Lionsgate Studios' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lionsgate Studios is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lionsgate Studios Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lionsgate Studios Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lionsgate Studios is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lionsgate Studios backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lionsgate Studios, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.94 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.98 | 6.98 | 0.00 |
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Lionsgate Studios Hype Timeline
Lionsgate Studios Corp is now traded for 6.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Lionsgate is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lionsgate Studios is about 49.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.06. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lionsgate Studios Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.17. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of June 2019. The firm had 251:250 split on the 30th of January 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Lionsgate Studios Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lionsgate Studios Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lionsgate Studios' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lionsgate Studios' future price movements. Getting to know how Lionsgate Studios' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lionsgate Studios may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NOW | ServiceNow | 39.46 | 8 per month | 1.09 | 0.18 | 3.04 | (2.68) | 8.12 | |
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | (1.08) | 11 per month | 1.34 | 0.07 | 3.17 | (2.59) | 26.78 | |
| LPCN | Lipocine | 0.09 | 5 per month | 4.68 | 0.09 | 9.75 | (6.20) | 27.84 | |
| CDNS | Cadence Design Systems | (14.71) | 9 per month | 2.14 | 0.06 | 3.48 | (4.40) | 18.93 | |
| AIHS | Senmiao Technology | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.22 | (6.74) | 15.58 | |
| NNAVW | NextNav Warrant | (0.41) | 1 per month | 3.85 | 0.35 | 10.96 | (6.12) | 23.59 |
Lionsgate Studios Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lionsgate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lionsgate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lionsgate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Lionsgate Studios Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lionsgate Studios stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lionsgate Studios Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lionsgate Studios based on analysis of Lionsgate Studios hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lionsgate Studios's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lionsgate Studios's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Net Debt To EBITDA | 1.72 | 1.59 | 228.64 | Intangibles To Total Assets | 6.47 | 0.59 | 0.16 |
Story Coverage note for Lionsgate Studios
The number of cover stories for Lionsgate Studios depends on current market conditions and Lionsgate Studios' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lionsgate Studios is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lionsgate Studios' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lionsgate Studios Short Properties
Lionsgate Studios' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lionsgate Studios' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lionsgate Studios Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lionsgate Studios' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lionsgate Studios' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 312.6 M |
Check out Lionsgate Studios Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lionsgate Studios. If investors know Lionsgate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lionsgate Studios listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.17) |
The market value of Lionsgate Studios Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lionsgate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lionsgate Studios' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lionsgate Studios' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lionsgate Studios' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lionsgate Studios' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lionsgate Studios' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lionsgate Studios is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lionsgate Studios' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.