Lundin Gold Stock Price Prediction
LUG Stock | CAD 31.92 1.07 3.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.545 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.61 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3943 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9481 | Wall Street Target Price 35.5769 |
Using Lundin Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lundin Gold from the perspective of Lundin Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lundin Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lundin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lundin Gold after-hype prediction price | CAD 33.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lundin |
Lundin Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lundin Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lundin Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lundin Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Lundin Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lundin Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lundin Gold's historical news coverage. Lundin Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.98 and 35.34, respectively. We have considered Lundin Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lundin Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lundin Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lundin Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lundin Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lundin Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lundin Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.22 | 0.12 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.92 | 33.16 | 0.52 |
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Lundin Gold Hype Timeline
Lundin Gold is now traded for 31.92on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Lundin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Lundin Gold is about 2466.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.93. The company reported the revenue of 902.52 M. Net Income was 179.46 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 500.39 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Lundin Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lundin Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lundin Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lundin Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Lundin Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lundin Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
OR | Osisko Gold Ro | 0.27 | 1 per month | 1.77 | 0.11 | 2.76 | (3.08) | 10.04 | |
DPM | Dundee Precious Metals | (0.02) | 2 per month | 1.74 | (0.03) | 2.32 | (3.22) | 7.88 | |
SSRM | SSR Mining | 0.04 | 3 per month | 3.17 | 0.15 | 7.66 | (4.71) | 23.54 | |
SSL | Sandstorm Gold Ltd | (0.63) | 5 per month | 2.20 | 0.0002 | 3.23 | (2.53) | 15.34 | |
EDV | Endeavour Mining Corp | 0.79 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.27 | (4.62) | 15.98 |
Lundin Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lundin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lundin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lundin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
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Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Lundin Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lundin Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lundin Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lundin Gold based on analysis of Lundin Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lundin Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lundin Gold's related companies. 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0323 | 0.0211 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.26 | 3.1 |
Story Coverage note for Lundin Gold
The number of cover stories for Lundin Gold depends on current market conditions and Lundin Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lundin Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lundin Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lundin Gold Short Properties
Lundin Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lundin Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lundin Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lundin Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lundin Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 239.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 268 M |
Other Information on Investing in Lundin Stock
Lundin Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lundin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lundin with respect to the benefits of owning Lundin Gold security.