Media Nusantara (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| MNCN Stock | IDR 306.00 6.00 2.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Media Nusantara hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Media Nusantara Citra from the perspective of Media Nusantara response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Media Nusantara to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Media because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Media Nusantara after-hype prediction price | IDR 306.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Media |
Media Nusantara After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Media Nusantara at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Media Nusantara or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Media Nusantara, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Media Nusantara Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Media Nusantara's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Media Nusantara's historical news coverage. Media Nusantara's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 304.24 and 307.76, respectively. We have considered Media Nusantara's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Media Nusantara is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Media Nusantara Citra is based on 3 months time horizon.
Media Nusantara Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Media Nusantara is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Media Nusantara backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Media Nusantara, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
306.00 | 306.00 | 0.00 |
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Media Nusantara Hype Timeline
Media Nusantara Citra is now traded for 306.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Media is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Media Nusantara is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 306.00. About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Media Nusantara Citra has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 177.25. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of September 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Media Nusantara Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Media Nusantara Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Media Nusantara's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Media Nusantara's future price movements. Getting to know how Media Nusantara's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Media Nusantara may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BMTR | Global Mediacom Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.02 | (2.80) | 5.59 | |
| SCMA | Surya Citra Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.21 | 7.44 | (2.31) | 18.85 | |
| AKRA | Akr Corporindo Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.54 | (3.70) | 8.67 | |
| BSDE | Bumi Serpong Damai | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.59 | (3.50) | 12.00 | |
| WIKA | Wijaya Karya Beton | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.35 | (6.42) | 16.42 |
Media Nusantara Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Media price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Media using various technical indicators. When you analyze Media charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Media Nusantara Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Media Nusantara stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Media Nusantara Citra, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Media Nusantara based on analysis of Media Nusantara hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Media Nusantara's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Media Nusantara's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Media Nusantara
The number of cover stories for Media Nusantara depends on current market conditions and Media Nusantara's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Media Nusantara is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Media Nusantara's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Media Nusantara Short Properties
Media Nusantara's future price predictability will typically decrease when Media Nusantara's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Media Nusantara Citra often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Media Nusantara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Media Nusantara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 T |
Other Information on Investing in Media Stock
Media Nusantara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Media Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Media with respect to the benefits of owning Media Nusantara security.