Marex Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| MRX Stock | 30.90 0.02 0.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 104.035 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.84 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.83 | Wall Street Target Price 29.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 |
Using Marex Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marex Group plc from the perspective of Marex Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marex Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marex Group after-hype prediction price | USD 30.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Marex |
Marex Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marex Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marex Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marex Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marex Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marex Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marex Group's historical news coverage. Marex Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.95 and 32.39, respectively. We have considered Marex Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marex Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marex Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marex Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marex Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marex Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marex Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.72 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.90 | 30.67 | 0.74 |
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Marex Group Hype Timeline
On the 13th of December 2024 Marex Group plc is traded for 30.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. Marex is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Marex Group is about 212.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.19. About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Marex Group was now reported as 12.94. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.69. Marex Group plc last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the January 26, 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Marex Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Marex Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marex Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marex Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Marex Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marex Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.79 | (3.12) | 7.64 | |
| SNDL | SNDL Inc | 0.23 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.65 | (3.62) | 24.46 | |
| SAM | Boston Beer | 4.65 | 11 per month | 1.22 | 0.12 | 2.43 | (2.14) | 6.51 | |
| STBGY | Scandinavian Tobacco Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.56 | |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee | 0.23 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.50 | (5.93) | 17.92 | |
| CCU | Compania Cervecerias Unidas | (0.25) | 8 per month | 1.37 | 0.07 | 2.84 | (2.25) | 8.67 |
Marex Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Marex Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marex Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marex Group plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marex Group based on analysis of Marex Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marex Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marex Group's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0149 | 0.004908 | 0.0425 | 0.0446 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.63 | 1.33 | 0.73 | 0.69 |
Story Coverage note for Marex Group
The number of cover stories for Marex Group depends on current market conditions and Marex Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marex Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marex Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Marex Group Short Properties
Marex Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marex Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marex Group plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marex Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marex Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 B |
Additional Tools for Marex Stock Analysis
When running Marex Group's price analysis, check to measure Marex Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marex Group is operating at the current time. Most of Marex Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marex Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marex Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marex Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.