Onemain Holdings Stock Price Prediction

OMF Stock  USD 56.97  0.16  0.28%   
The relative strength indicator of OneMain Holdings' share price is above 70 as of 29th of November 2024. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling OneMain, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of OneMain Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of OneMain Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from OneMain Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OneMain Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting OneMain Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.15
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.9218
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.9382
Wall Street Target Price
58.3077
Using OneMain Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OneMain Holdings from the perspective of OneMain Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OneMain Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OneMain because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

OneMain Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 56.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out OneMain Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in OneMain Stock please use our How to Invest in OneMain Holdings guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.4444.9062.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.3155.7658.22
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.4851.0856.70
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.181.231.30
Details

OneMain Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of OneMain Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OneMain Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OneMain Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

OneMain Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting OneMain Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OneMain Holdings' historical news coverage. OneMain Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.51 and 59.43, respectively. We have considered OneMain Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
56.97
56.97
After-hype Price
59.43
Upside
OneMain Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OneMain Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

OneMain Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OneMain Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OneMain Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OneMain Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
2.46
  0.09 
  0.18 
8 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
56.97
56.97
0.00 
848.28  
Notes

OneMain Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November OneMain Holdings is traded for 56.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. OneMain is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on OneMain Holdings is about 448.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.15. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of OneMain Holdings was now reported as 26.87. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.61. OneMain Holdings last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out OneMain Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in OneMain Stock please use our How to Invest in OneMain Holdings guide.

OneMain Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to OneMain Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OneMain Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how OneMain Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OneMain Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OCSLOaktree Specialty Lending(0.07)6 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.49 (1.71) 5.32 
BBDCBarings BDC 0.01 7 per month 0.76 (0.07) 1.34 (1.12) 3.87 
RWAYRunway Growth Finance 0.11 10 per month 1.00 (0.11) 1.42 (1.45) 5.11 
ALLYAlly Financial(0.32)12 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.84 (2.91) 19.33 
ORCCOwl Rock Capital(0.30)11 per month 0.86  0.04  1.66 (1.57) 4.35 
NAVINavient Corp(0.27)8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.95 (3.50) 13.67 
AGMFederal Agricultural Mortgage(3.96)12 per month 1.24  0.02  2.86 (2.24) 12.03 
AXPAmerican Express 7.90 7 per month 1.12  0.1  2.83 (2.19) 9.79 
MAMastercard 1.87 8 per month 0.71  0.06  1.70 (1.33) 5.05 
VVisa Class A 1.95 6 per month 1.05  0.09  2.23 (1.30) 7.73 
PYPLPayPal Holdings 2.13 6 per month 1.53  0.1  3.52 (2.75) 10.05 
COFCapital One Financial 1.33 9 per month 1.17  0.14  5.23 (2.39) 18.23 
SYFSynchrony Financial 0.30 11 per month 1.21  0.14  4.38 (2.58) 23.07 
DFSDiscover Financial Services(3.00)13 per month 1.47  0.13  4.04 (2.77) 24.36 

OneMain Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OneMain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OneMain using various technical indicators. When you analyze OneMain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About OneMain Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of OneMain Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OneMain Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OneMain Holdings based on analysis of OneMain Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OneMain Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OneMain Holdings's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.190.08220.0747
Price To Sales Ratio1.642.312.06

Story Coverage note for OneMain Holdings

The number of cover stories for OneMain Holdings depends on current market conditions and OneMain Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OneMain Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OneMain Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

OneMain Holdings Short Properties

OneMain Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when OneMain Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OneMain Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OneMain Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneMain Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Complementary Tools for OneMain Stock analysis

When running OneMain Holdings' price analysis, check to measure OneMain Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OneMain Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of OneMain Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OneMain Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OneMain Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OneMain Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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