Perusahaan Gas (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| PGAS Stock | IDR 1,525 15.00 0.97% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Perusahaan Gas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perusahaan Gas Negara from the perspective of Perusahaan Gas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Perusahaan Gas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Perusahaan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Perusahaan Gas after-hype prediction price | IDR 1525.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Perusahaan |
Perusahaan Gas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perusahaan Gas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perusahaan Gas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perusahaan Gas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perusahaan Gas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perusahaan Gas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perusahaan Gas' historical news coverage. Perusahaan Gas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,524 and 1,526, respectively. We have considered Perusahaan Gas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perusahaan Gas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perusahaan Gas Negara is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perusahaan Gas Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perusahaan Gas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perusahaan Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perusahaan Gas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,525 | 1,525 | 0.00 |
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Perusahaan Gas Hype Timeline
Perusahaan Gas Negara is at this time traded for 1,525on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Perusahaan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Perusahaan Gas is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,525. About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Perusahaan Gas Negara recorded earning per share (EPS) of 212.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of June 2022. The firm had 5:1 split on the 4th of August 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Perusahaan Gas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Perusahaan Gas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perusahaan Gas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perusahaan Gas' future price movements. Getting to know how Perusahaan Gas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perusahaan Gas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ANTM | Aneka Tambang Persero | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | (0.06) | 3.37 | (3.47) | 9.56 | |
| PTBA | Bukit Asam Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.68 | (2.09) | 9.08 | |
| TLKM | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.61 | (3.31) | 10.93 | |
| ASII | Astra International Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | (0.05) | 3.43 | (2.38) | 6.32 | |
| INDF | PT Indofood Sukses | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.02 | 2.14 | (1.97) | 8.24 |
Perusahaan Gas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perusahaan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perusahaan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perusahaan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Perusahaan Gas Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Perusahaan Gas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Perusahaan Gas Negara, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Perusahaan Gas based on analysis of Perusahaan Gas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Perusahaan Gas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Perusahaan Gas's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Perusahaan Gas
The number of cover stories for Perusahaan Gas depends on current market conditions and Perusahaan Gas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perusahaan Gas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perusahaan Gas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Perusahaan Gas Short Properties
Perusahaan Gas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Perusahaan Gas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perusahaan Gas Negara often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perusahaan Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perusahaan Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Other Information on Investing in Perusahaan Stock
Perusahaan Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Perusahaan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Perusahaan with respect to the benefits of owning Perusahaan Gas security.