Remitly Global Stock Price Prediction

RELY Stock  USD 20.56  0.27  1.30%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Remitly Global's share price is above 70 at this time indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Remitly, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Remitly Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Remitly Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Remitly Global's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.08)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.507
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.7903
Wall Street Target Price
23.5556
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.07)
Using Remitly Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Remitly Global from the perspective of Remitly Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Remitly Global Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Remitly Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Remitly. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Remitly can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Remitly Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Remitly Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Remitly Global.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Remitly Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Remitly because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Remitly Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Remitly Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Remitly Stock please use our How to Invest in Remitly Global guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5023.7026.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.3720.2423.12
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.6031.4334.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.130.16
Details

Remitly Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Remitly Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Remitly Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Remitly Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Remitly Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Remitly Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Remitly Global's historical news coverage. Remitly Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.20 and 23.96, respectively. We have considered Remitly Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.56
21.08
After-hype Price
23.96
Upside
Remitly Global is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Remitly Global is based on 3 months time horizon.

Remitly Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Remitly Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Remitly Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Remitly Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.70 
2.88
  0.52 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.56
21.08
2.53 
389.19  
Notes

Remitly Global Hype Timeline

Remitly Global is at this time traded for 20.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Remitly is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 2.53%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Remitly Global is about 14896.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.55. Remitly Global currently holds 142.99 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Remitly Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Remitly Stock please use our How to Invest in Remitly Global guide.

Remitly Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Remitly Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Remitly Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Remitly Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Remitly Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ACIWACI Worldwide(0.75)9 per month 1.53  0.05  3.72 (2.98) 12.56 
ESMTEngageSmart LLC 0.00 0 per month 1.90 (0.01) 3.90 (2.93) 9.34 
EVCMEverCommerce(0.15)9 per month 1.67  0.06  3.46 (2.45) 13.03 
GBGlobal Blue Group 0.15 7 per month 3.54  0.07  6.48 (5.13) 23.79 
CSGSCSG Systems International 2.36 9 per month 0.89  0.06  2.65 (1.69) 10.94 
SCWXSecureworks Corp(0.04)8 per month 2.66  0.04  6.29 (5.68) 29.19 
EVTCEvertec(0.97)11 per month 1.61 (0.01) 2.43 (2.66) 8.27 
VRNTVerint Systems 0.30 10 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.67 (4.01) 11.82 
IIIVi3 Verticals(0.25)7 per month 1.86  0.04  3.56 (3.03) 10.92 
CCCSCCC Intelligent Solutions(0.23)10 per month 0.88  0.09  2.17 (1.89) 5.99 
SPSCSPS Commerce(1.39)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.68 (2.74) 13.74 
STERSterling Check Corp(0.06)7 per month 0.93 (0.04) 1.77 (1.22) 7.04 
CCSIConsensus Cloud Solutions(0.30)8 per month 2.43  0.01  4.16 (3.62) 20.68 
BASECouchbase 0.64 11 per month 3.52  0.02  5.12 (4.51) 20.08 
FLYWFlywire Corp 0.40 8 per month 1.74  0.11  3.74 (2.85) 19.12 

Remitly Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Remitly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Remitly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Remitly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Remitly Global Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Remitly Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Remitly Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Remitly Global based on analysis of Remitly Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Remitly Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Remitly Global's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover195.9848.1211.7211.14
Days Of Inventory On Hand184.13176.46202.93169.77

Story Coverage note for Remitly Global

The number of cover stories for Remitly Global depends on current market conditions and Remitly Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Remitly Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Remitly Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Remitly Global Short Properties

Remitly Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Remitly Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Remitly Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Remitly Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Remitly Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments323.7 M

Additional Tools for Remitly Stock Analysis

When running Remitly Global's price analysis, check to measure Remitly Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Remitly Global is operating at the current time. Most of Remitly Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Remitly Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Remitly Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Remitly Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.