Renaissancere Holdings Stock Price Prediction

RNR Stock  USD 285.44  3.06  1.08%   
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Renaissancere Holdings' share price is approaching 39 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Renaissancere Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

39

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Renaissancere Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Renaissancere Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Renaissancere Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Renaissancere Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Renaissancere Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.953
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
6.95
EPS Estimate Current Year
41.6094
EPS Estimate Next Year
34.5798
Wall Street Target Price
296.1818
Using Renaissancere Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Renaissancere Holdings from the perspective of Renaissancere Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Renaissancere Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Renaissancere Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Renaissancere. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Renaissancere can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Renaissancere Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Renaissancere Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Renaissancere Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Renaissancere Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Renaissancere because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Renaissancere Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 285.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Renaissancere Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Renaissancere Stock, please use our How to Invest in Renaissancere Holdings guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
231.23233.13313.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
294.72296.62298.52
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
227.27249.75277.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
9.7810.4010.70
Details

Renaissancere Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Renaissancere Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Renaissancere Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Renaissancere Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Renaissancere Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Renaissancere Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Renaissancere Holdings' historical news coverage. Renaissancere Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 283.54 and 287.34, respectively. We have considered Renaissancere Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
285.44
283.54
Downside
285.44
After-hype Price
287.34
Upside
Renaissancere Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Renaissancere Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Renaissancere Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Renaissancere Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Renaissancere Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Renaissancere Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.91
  0.95 
  0.03 
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
285.44
285.44
0.00 
38.05  
Notes

Renaissancere Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November Renaissancere Holdings is traded for 285.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.95, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Renaissancere is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 38.05%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Renaissancere Holdings is about 1073.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 285.47. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Renaissancere Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 70.99. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. The firm had 3:1 split on the 31st of May 2002. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Renaissancere Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Renaissancere Stock, please use our How to Invest in Renaissancere Holdings guide.

Renaissancere Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Renaissancere Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Renaissancere Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Renaissancere Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Renaissancere Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RGAReinsurance Group of 1.56 10 per month 1.25  0.01  2.26 (1.93) 10.03 
GLREGreenlight Capital Re 0.23 8 per month 1.34  0.01  1.90 (2.51) 12.12 
SPNTSiriuspoint(0.15)6 per month 1.67 (0.02) 2.19 (2.74) 13.03 
SCRYYSCOR PK 0.00 0 per month 2.02  0.07  5.61 (4.09) 12.99 
BNREBrookfield Reinsurance 0.00 0 per month 1.84  0.01  2.83 (3.15) 9.52 
REColas SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.29 (2.48) 6.28 
MHLDMaiden Holdings 0.14 5 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.06 (5.18) 21.08 
SPNT-PBSiriusPoint 0.00 0 per month 0.09 (0.33) 0.48 (0.36) 1.27 
RNR-PFRenaissanceRe Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.50 (0.28) 0.61 (0.86) 1.74 
RNR-PGRenaissanceRe Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 0.75 (1.01) 3.37 

Renaissancere Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Renaissancere price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Renaissancere using various technical indicators. When you analyze Renaissancere charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Renaissancere Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Renaissancere Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Renaissancere Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Renaissancere Holdings based on analysis of Renaissancere Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Renaissancere Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Renaissancere Holdings's related companies.
 2020 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01270.01190.0229
Price To Sales Ratio1.521.020.97

Story Coverage note for Renaissancere Holdings

The number of cover stories for Renaissancere Holdings depends on current market conditions and Renaissancere Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Renaissancere Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Renaissancere Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Renaissancere Holdings Short Properties

Renaissancere Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Renaissancere Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Renaissancere Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Renaissancere Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Renaissancere Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.5 B

Additional Tools for Renaissancere Stock Analysis

When running Renaissancere Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Renaissancere Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Renaissancere Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Renaissancere Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Renaissancere Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Renaissancere Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Renaissancere Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.