Rapid7 Inc Stock Price Prediction

RPD Stock  USD 42.60  0.07  0.16%   
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Rapid7's share price is approaching 49 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rapid7, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rapid7's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rapid7 and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rapid7's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rapid7 Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rapid7's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.53
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.2912
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.3371
Wall Street Target Price
43.4119
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.52
Using Rapid7 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rapid7 Inc from the perspective of Rapid7 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Rapid7 Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Rapid7's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rapid7. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rapid7 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rapid7 Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rapid7's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rapid7.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rapid7 to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rapid7 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Rapid7 after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 42.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Rapid7 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3445.5147.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.3242.5344.74
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
48.3353.1158.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.550.570.58
Details

Rapid7 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rapid7 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rapid7 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rapid7, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rapid7 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rapid7's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rapid7's historical news coverage. Rapid7's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.48 and 44.90, respectively. We have considered Rapid7's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
42.60
42.69
After-hype Price
44.90
Upside
Rapid7 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rapid7 Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rapid7 Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rapid7 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rapid7 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rapid7, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
2.19
  0.09 
  0.28 
9 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.60
42.69
0.21 
663.64  
Notes

Rapid7 Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Rapid7 Inc is traded for 42.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. Rapid7 is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 42.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Rapid7 is about 203.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.88. The company reported the last year's revenue of 777.71 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (149.26 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 470.73 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Rapid7 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Rapid7 Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rapid7's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rapid7's future price movements. Getting to know how Rapid7's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rapid7 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
QLYSQualys Inc 0.39 12 per month 1.38  0.07  3.17 (2.59) 26.78 
CYBRCyberArk Software 5.93 9 per month 1.64  0.05  3.32 (2.86) 8.13 
VRNSVaronis Systems 0.78 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.88 (3.60) 14.38 
CHKPCheck Point Software(0.60)11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.75 (1.86) 17.62 
TENBTenable Holdings 0.22 8 per month 1.57 (0.05) 2.52 (2.63) 10.29 
SPSCSPS Commerce(1.39)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.68 (2.74) 13.74 
FFIVF5 Networks(4.99)10 per month 0.79  0.14  1.83 (1.77) 12.18 
PAGSPagSeguro Digital(0.32)9 per month 0.00 (0.29) 3.17 (4.94) 11.66 
DAVAEndava 1.97 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.11 (4.81) 14.12 
NTNXNutanix 0.27 9 per month 2.01  0.07  3.95 (3.15) 28.12 
SPLKSplunk Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.70  0.03  4.36 (3.33) 10.70 
VMWVMware Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.90  0.13  4.04 (2.18) 7.26 
VRNTVerint Systems 0.30 10 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.67 (4.01) 11.82 
CSGSCSG Systems International 2.36 9 per month 0.89  0.06  2.65 (1.69) 10.94 
ZSZscaler(0.42)10 per month 3.80  0  3.73 (3.37) 20.36 
NETCloudflare 4.48 8 per month 1.83  0.09  5.47 (3.44) 13.45 
CRWDCrowdstrike Holdings 12.58 9 per month 1.88  0.12  4.04 (3.44) 12.69 
PATHUipath Inc(0.29)10 per month 2.49  0.03  4.52 (3.82) 12.04 
OKTAOkta Inc(0.79)12 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.39 (3.42) 17.64 

Rapid7 Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rapid7 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rapid7 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rapid7 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Rapid7 Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Rapid7 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rapid7 Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rapid7 based on analysis of Rapid7 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rapid7's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rapid7's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover47.9820.914.6614.38
Days Of Inventory On Hand64.7659.4453.536.62

Story Coverage note for Rapid7

The number of cover stories for Rapid7 depends on current market conditions and Rapid7's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rapid7 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rapid7's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Rapid7 Short Properties

Rapid7's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rapid7's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rapid7 Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rapid7's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rapid7's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments383.2 M

Complementary Tools for Rapid7 Stock analysis

When running Rapid7's price analysis, check to measure Rapid7's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rapid7 is operating at the current time. Most of Rapid7's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rapid7's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rapid7's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rapid7 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios