Riverview Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

RVSB Stock  USD 5.58  0.03  0.53%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Riverview Bancorp's share price is above 70 at the present time indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Riverview, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Riverview Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Riverview Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Riverview Bancorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.05
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.35
Wall Street Target Price
5.25
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.04
Using Riverview Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Riverview Bancorp from the perspective of Riverview Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Riverview Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Riverview because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Riverview Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Riverview Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Riverview Stock refer to our How to Trade Riverview Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Riverview Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.896.247.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.535.887.22
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.050.04
Details

Riverview Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Riverview Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Riverview Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Riverview Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Riverview Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Riverview Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Riverview Bancorp's historical news coverage. Riverview Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.23 and 6.93, respectively. We have considered Riverview Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.58
5.58
After-hype Price
6.93
Upside
Riverview Bancorp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Riverview Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Riverview Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Riverview Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Riverview Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Riverview Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.35
 0.00  
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.58
5.58
0.00 
13,500  
Notes

Riverview Bancorp Hype Timeline

Riverview Bancorp is at this time traded for 5.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Riverview is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Riverview Bancorp is about 3098.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.59. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Riverview Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of October 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 25th of August 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Riverview Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Riverview Stock refer to our How to Trade Riverview Stock guide.

Riverview Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Riverview Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Riverview Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Riverview Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Riverview Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)10 per month 1.12  0.01  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.74 (0.01) 4.11 (2.82) 14.21 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.29) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
ISTRInvestar Holding Corp(0.37)9 per month 1.11  0.14  3.41 (2.50) 17.09 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.74  0.05  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.76 (0.12) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.48 8 per month 2.07 (0.04) 6.22 (4.11) 14.42 
HBCPHome Bancorp 1.24 7 per month 1.76  0.07  3.67 (3.12) 10.19 
CBFVCB Financial Services(0.09)9 per month 1.44  0.09  2.97 (2.61) 8.05 
CIVBCivista Bancshares(0.01)9 per month 0.94  0.19  3.67 (1.94) 10.55 
HTBIHomeTrust Bancshares(0.29)6 per month 1.75 (0.01) 2.87 (3.47) 18.54 

Riverview Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Riverview price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Riverview using various technical indicators. When you analyze Riverview charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Riverview Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Riverview Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Riverview Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Riverview Bancorp based on analysis of Riverview Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Riverview Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Riverview Bancorp's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02780.04430.05120.0538
Price To Sales Ratio2.781.812.053.04

Story Coverage note for Riverview Bancorp

The number of cover stories for Riverview Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Riverview Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Riverview Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Riverview Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Riverview Bancorp Short Properties

Riverview Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Riverview Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Riverview Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Riverview Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Riverview Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.6 M

Complementary Tools for Riverview Stock analysis

When running Riverview Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Riverview Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riverview Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Riverview Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riverview Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riverview Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riverview Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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