Sterling Construction Stock Price Prediction

STRL Stock  USD 194.45  0.96  0.49%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Sterling Construction's the stock price is about 62. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sterling, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sterling Construction's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sterling Construction and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sterling Construction's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sterling Construction, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sterling Construction's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.563
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.29
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.96
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.445
Wall Street Target Price
191.5
Using Sterling Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sterling Construction from the perspective of Sterling Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Sterling Construction Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sterling Construction's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sterling. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sterling can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sterling Construction. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sterling Construction's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sterling Construction.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sterling Construction to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sterling because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sterling Construction after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 192.38  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sterling Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sterling Stock please use our How to buy in Sterling Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
142.71145.76213.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
186.47189.52192.56
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
78.7286.5096.02
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.481.491.50
Details

Sterling Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sterling Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sterling Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sterling Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sterling Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sterling Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sterling Construction's historical news coverage. Sterling Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 189.33 and 195.43, respectively. We have considered Sterling Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
194.45
189.33
Downside
192.38
After-hype Price
195.43
Upside
Sterling Construction is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sterling Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sterling Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sterling Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sterling Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sterling Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.98 
3.05
  2.07 
  2.47 
7 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
194.45
192.38
1.06 
144.55  
Notes

Sterling Construction Hype Timeline

Sterling Construction is at this time traded for 194.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.47. Sterling is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 192.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 144.55%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.98%. The volatility of related hype on Sterling Construction is about 120.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 196.92. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.09. Sterling Construction recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Sterling Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sterling Stock please use our How to buy in Sterling Stock guide.

Sterling Construction Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sterling Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sterling Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Sterling Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sterling Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EMEEMCOR Group 16.75 7 per month 1.92  0.16  3.31 (2.67) 10.81 
FIXComfort Systems USA 4.69 8 per month 2.94  0.16  5.28 (3.47) 17.05 
PRIMPrimoris Services 2.97 10 per month 1.72  0.20  4.15 (1.78) 17.09 
GVAGranite Construction Incorporated 1.35 10 per month 0.56  0.23  2.88 (1.32) 5.35 
ROADConstruction Partners(1.62)10 per month 2.07  0.18  6.10 (3.32) 16.71 
MYRGMYR Group 2.24 9 per month 1.64  0.20  5.71 (3.02) 17.58 
TPCTutor Perini(0.77)8 per month 3.06  0.05  7.18 (4.60) 20.69 
MTRXMatrix Service Co 0.1 4 per month 1.62  0.12  4.54 (2.63) 19.14 
APGApi Group Corp(0.43)12 per month 1.63 (0) 3.27 (3.02) 7.65 
GLDDGreat Lakes Dredge(0.08)10 per month 1.52  0.12  3.82 (2.78) 11.23 
SLNDSouthland Holdings 0.36 3 per month 0.00 (0.06) 8.04 (8.70) 39.26 
DYDycom Industries 7.22 9 per month 3.08 (0.0006) 4.43 (3.57) 19.59 
MTZMasTec Inc 0.05 9 per month 1.80  0.13  4.33 (2.85) 10.15 

Sterling Construction Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sterling price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sterling using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sterling charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sterling Construction Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sterling Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sterling Construction, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sterling Construction based on analysis of Sterling Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sterling Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sterling Construction's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03980.0354
Price To Sales Ratio1.371.44

Story Coverage note for Sterling Construction

The number of cover stories for Sterling Construction depends on current market conditions and Sterling Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sterling Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sterling Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sterling Construction Short Properties

Sterling Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sterling Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sterling Construction often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sterling Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sterling Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments471.6 M
When determining whether Sterling Construction is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sterling Construction's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sterling Construction's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sterling Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Sterling Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Sterling Stock please use our How to buy in Sterling Stock guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sterling Construction. If investors know Sterling will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sterling Construction listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.563
Earnings Share
5.89
Revenue Per Share
68.14
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
Return On Assets
0.0863
The market value of Sterling Construction is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sterling that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sterling Construction's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sterling Construction's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sterling Construction's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sterling Construction's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sterling Construction's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sterling Construction is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sterling Construction's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.