Sterling Construction Stock Price Prediction
STRL Stock | USD 194.45 0.96 0.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.563 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.29 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.96 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.445 | Wall Street Target Price 191.5 |
Using Sterling Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sterling Construction from the perspective of Sterling Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Sterling Construction Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sterling Construction's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sterling. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sterling can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sterling Construction. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sterling Construction's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sterling Construction.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sterling Construction to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sterling because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sterling Construction after-hype prediction price | USD 192.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sterling |
Sterling Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sterling Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sterling Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sterling Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Sterling Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sterling Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sterling Construction's historical news coverage. Sterling Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 189.33 and 195.43, respectively. We have considered Sterling Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sterling Construction is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sterling Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sterling Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sterling Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sterling Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sterling Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.98 | 3.05 | 2.07 | 2.47 | 7 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
194.45 | 192.38 | 1.06 |
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Sterling Construction Hype Timeline
Sterling Construction is at this time traded for 194.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.47. Sterling is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 192.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 144.55%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.98%. The volatility of related hype on Sterling Construction is about 120.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 196.92. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.09. Sterling Construction recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Sterling Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sterling Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sterling Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sterling Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Sterling Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sterling Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
EME | EMCOR Group | 16.75 | 7 per month | 1.92 | 0.16 | 3.31 | (2.67) | 10.81 | |
FIX | Comfort Systems USA | 4.69 | 8 per month | 2.94 | 0.16 | 5.28 | (3.47) | 17.05 | |
PRIM | Primoris Services | 2.97 | 10 per month | 1.72 | 0.20 | 4.15 | (1.78) | 17.09 | |
GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 1.35 | 10 per month | 0.56 | 0.23 | 2.88 | (1.32) | 5.35 | |
ROAD | Construction Partners | (1.62) | 10 per month | 2.07 | 0.18 | 6.10 | (3.32) | 16.71 | |
MYRG | MYR Group | 2.24 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.20 | 5.71 | (3.02) | 17.58 | |
TPC | Tutor Perini | (0.77) | 8 per month | 3.06 | 0.05 | 7.18 | (4.60) | 20.69 | |
MTRX | Matrix Service Co | 0.1 | 4 per month | 1.62 | 0.12 | 4.54 | (2.63) | 19.14 | |
APG | Api Group Corp | (0.43) | 12 per month | 1.63 | (0) | 3.27 | (3.02) | 7.65 | |
GLDD | Great Lakes Dredge | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.52 | 0.12 | 3.82 | (2.78) | 11.23 | |
SLND | Southland Holdings | 0.36 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.04 | (8.70) | 39.26 | |
DY | Dycom Industries | 7.22 | 9 per month | 3.08 | (0.0006) | 4.43 | (3.57) | 19.59 | |
MTZ | MasTec Inc | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.80 | 0.13 | 4.33 | (2.85) | 10.15 |
Sterling Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sterling price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sterling using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sterling charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Sterling Construction Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sterling Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sterling Construction, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sterling Construction based on analysis of Sterling Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sterling Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sterling Construction's related companies. 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0398 | 0.0354 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.37 | 1.44 |
Story Coverage note for Sterling Construction
The number of cover stories for Sterling Construction depends on current market conditions and Sterling Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sterling Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sterling Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sterling Construction Short Properties
Sterling Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sterling Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sterling Construction often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sterling Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sterling Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 471.6 M |
Check out Sterling Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Sterling Stock please use our How to buy in Sterling Stock guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sterling Construction. If investors know Sterling will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sterling Construction listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.563 | Earnings Share 5.89 | Revenue Per Share 68.14 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 | Return On Assets 0.0863 |
The market value of Sterling Construction is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sterling that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sterling Construction's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sterling Construction's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sterling Construction's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sterling Construction's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sterling Construction's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sterling Construction is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sterling Construction's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.