Uwm Holdings Corp Stock Price Prediction
| UWMC Stock | USD 6.51 0.05 0.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
26
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2015 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4517 | Wall Street Target Price 7.625 |
Using UWM Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UWM Holdings Corp from the perspective of UWM Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in UWM Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying UWM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
UWM Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 6.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
UWM |
UWM Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of UWM Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UWM Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of UWM Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
UWM Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting UWM Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UWM Holdings' historical news coverage. UWM Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.27 and 8.69, respectively. We have considered UWM Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
UWM Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UWM Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
UWM Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as UWM Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UWM Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UWM Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 2.21 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.51 | 6.48 | 0.46 |
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UWM Holdings Hype Timeline
UWM Holdings Corp is at this time traded for 6.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. UWM is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on UWM Holdings is about 5412.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.49. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.23. UWM Holdings Corp last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out UWM Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.UWM Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to UWM Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UWM Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how UWM Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UWM Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LDI | Loandepot | (0.11) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.61 | (6.50) | 26.03 | |
| COOP | Mr Cooper Group | 0.51 | 8 per month | 2.29 | 0 | 3.33 | (3.46) | 23.55 | |
| PFSI | PennyMac Finl Svcs | 2.44 | 11 per month | 1.57 | (0.04) | 2.33 | (2.17) | 7.68 | |
| WD | Walker Dunlop | (2.17) | 12 per month | 1.28 | (0.03) | 3.46 | (2.32) | 7.12 | |
| GHLD | Guild Holdings Co | (0.50) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.57 | (3.37) | 11.75 | |
| RKT | Rocket Companies | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.65 | (4.14) | 13.97 | |
| HMPT | Home Point Capital | (0.01) | 6 per month | 1.31 | 0.07 | 4.55 | (2.60) | 19.28 | |
| OCN | Ocwen Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.40 | 0.05 | 4.38 | (3.44) | 20.86 | |
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | (0.73) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.57 | (2.42) | 9.26 | |
| GHI | Greystone Housing Impact | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.09 | (2.81) | 11.65 | |
| VEL | Velocity Financial Llc | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.63 | 0.02 | 1.69 | (1.12) | 4.30 | |
| SNFCA | Security National Financial | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.69 | 0.24 | 2.81 | (1.54) | 11.74 |
UWM Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine UWM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UWM using various technical indicators. When you analyze UWM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About UWM Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of UWM Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as UWM Holdings Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UWM Holdings based on analysis of UWM Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to UWM Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to UWM Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.51 | 2.57 | 0.0559 | 0.0531 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.33 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.34 |
Story Coverage note for UWM Holdings
The number of cover stories for UWM Holdings depends on current market conditions and UWM Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UWM Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UWM Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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UWM Holdings Short Properties
UWM Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when UWM Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of UWM Holdings Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential UWM Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UWM Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 497.5 M |
Complementary Tools for UWM Stock analysis
When running UWM Holdings' price analysis, check to measure UWM Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UWM Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of UWM Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UWM Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UWM Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UWM Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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