Welltower Stock Price Prediction
| WELL Stock | USD 129.27 0.18 0.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.004 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.91 | Wall Street Target Price 141.8947 |
Using Welltower hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Welltower from the perspective of Welltower response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Welltower Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Welltower's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Welltower. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Welltower can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Welltower. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Welltower's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Welltower.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Welltower to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Welltower because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Welltower after-hype prediction price | USD 129.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Welltower |
Welltower After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Welltower at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Welltower or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Welltower, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Welltower Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Welltower's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Welltower's historical news coverage. Welltower's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 127.94 and 130.60, respectively. We have considered Welltower's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Welltower is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Welltower is based on 3 months time horizon.
Welltower Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Welltower is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Welltower backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Welltower, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
129.27 | 129.27 | 0.00 |
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Welltower Hype Timeline
Welltower is at this time traded for 129.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Welltower is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Welltower is about 6650.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 129.27. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Welltower was at this time reported as 49.05. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.19. Welltower last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 4th of September 1985. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Welltower Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Welltower Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Welltower's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Welltower's future price movements. Getting to know how Welltower's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Welltower may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PEAK | PEAK Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.03) | 2.88 | (2.16) | 6.74 | |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust | 0.45 | 10 per month | 1.51 | (0.08) | 2.01 | (2.61) | 7.78 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | (0.54) | 9 per month | 1.69 | (0.02) | 2.51 | (2.50) | 8.78 | |
| NHI | National Health Investors | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.81 | (2.29) | 6.32 | |
| GMRE | Global Medical REIT | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.84 | (2.36) | 6.41 | |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties | (0.36) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.36 | (2.08) | 6.16 | |
| VTR | Ventas Inc | 0.60 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.95 | (1.94) | 6.11 | |
| CTRE | CareTrust REIT | (0.30) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.06 | (1.75) | 7.20 | |
| CHCT | Community Healthcare Trust | (0.18) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.08 | 4.99 | (1.95) | 8.62 | |
| GMRE-PA | Global Medical REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | (0.14) | 1.12 | (1.21) | 3.76 |
Welltower Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Welltower price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Welltower using various technical indicators. When you analyze Welltower charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Welltower Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Welltower stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Welltower, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Welltower based on analysis of Welltower hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Welltower's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Welltower's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0284 | 0.0373 | 0.0271 | 0.0258 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.69 | 5.17 | 7.01 | 8.37 |
Story Coverage note for Welltower
The number of cover stories for Welltower depends on current market conditions and Welltower's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Welltower is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Welltower's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Welltower Short Properties
Welltower's future price predictability will typically decrease when Welltower's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Welltower often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Welltower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Welltower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 518.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Check out Welltower Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Welltower Stock please use our How to buy in Welltower Stock guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Welltower. If investors know Welltower will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Welltower listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.004 | Dividend Share 2.56 | Earnings Share 1.57 | Revenue Per Share 12.941 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.288 |
The market value of Welltower is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Welltower that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Welltower's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Welltower's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Welltower's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Welltower's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Welltower's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Welltower is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Welltower's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.