Watts Water Technologies Stock Price Prediction

WTS Stock  USD 215.79  1.13  0.53%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Watts Water's the stock price is slightly above 61. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Watts, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Watts Water's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Watts Water and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Watts Water's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Watts Water Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Watts Water's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.051
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.92
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.74
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.9457
Wall Street Target Price
201.2
Using Watts Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Watts Water Technologies from the perspective of Watts Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Watts Water Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Watts Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Watts. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Watts can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Watts Water Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Watts Water's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Watts Water.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Watts Water to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Watts because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Watts Water after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 216.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Watts Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Watts Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
175.21176.66237.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
210.54212.00213.45
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
168.35185.00205.35
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.172.192.19
Details

Watts Water After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Watts Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Watts Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Watts Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Watts Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Watts Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Watts Water's historical news coverage. Watts Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 214.90 and 217.80, respectively. We have considered Watts Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
215.79
214.90
Downside
216.35
After-hype Price
217.80
Upside
Watts Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Watts Water Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Watts Water Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Watts Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Watts Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Watts Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.45
  0.56 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
215.79
216.35
0.26 
49.49  
Notes

Watts Water Hype Timeline

On the 30th of November Watts Water Technologies is traded for 215.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.56, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Watts is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 216.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 49.49%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Watts Water is about 2537.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 215.78. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.06 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 262.1 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 874.3 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Watts Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Watts Water Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Watts Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Watts Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Watts Water's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Watts Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Watts Water Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Watts price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Watts using various technical indicators. When you analyze Watts charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Watts Water Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Watts Water stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Watts Water Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Watts Water based on analysis of Watts Water hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Watts Water's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Watts Water's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0052260.0080630.0066820.0131
Price To Sales Ratio3.632.473.383.55

Story Coverage note for Watts Water

The number of cover stories for Watts Water depends on current market conditions and Watts Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Watts Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Watts Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Watts Water Short Properties

Watts Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when Watts Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Watts Water Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Watts Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Watts Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments350.1 M

Additional Tools for Watts Stock Analysis

When running Watts Water's price analysis, check to measure Watts Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Watts Water is operating at the current time. Most of Watts Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Watts Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Watts Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Watts Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.