The Aes Stock Z Score

AES Stock

USD 12.58 0.58 4.41%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out AES Piotroski F Score and AES Valuation analysis.

At this time, AES's Capital Surpluse is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Additional Paid In Capital is likely to gain to about 10.3 B in 2024, despite the fact that Net Working Capital is likely to grow to (2.9 B). At this time, AES's Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. EBIT is likely to gain to about 2.2 B in 2024, whereas Total Revenue is likely to drop slightly above 10.1 B in 2024.

The AES Company Z Score Analysis

AES's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

AES Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for AES is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of AES Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since AES's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of AES's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of AES's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Accumulated Depreciation	Long Term Debt Total	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.75	0.95	-0.06	0.88	0.79	0.99	0.93	0.64	0.93	0.71	0.57	-0.09	-0.28	-0.39	0.83	-0.33	0.01	-0.65	0.25	0.17	-0.13	-0.14	0.54	0.22	0.24	0.24	-0.15	0.15
Total Stockholder Equity	0.75		0.53	0.44	0.76	0.85	0.68	0.84	0.37	0.57	0.89	0.18	0.48	0.16	-0.55	0.73	0.18	0.06	-0.85	0.54	0.48	0.01	-0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.04	-0.17	0.09	-0.22
Net Debt	0.95	0.53		-0.29	0.77	0.63	0.97	0.81	0.65	0.97	0.53	0.62	-0.34	-0.47	-0.29	0.71	-0.56	0.0	-0.45	0.1	0.06	-0.09	-0.08	0.61	0.25	0.23	0.37	-0.21	0.28
Retained Earnings	-0.06	0.44	-0.29		0.15	0.33	-0.15	0.09	-0.24	-0.27	0.43	-0.23	0.73	0.56	-0.29	0.25	0.66	0.33	-0.56	0.39	0.55	-0.07	0.09	-0.26	-0.03	0.15	-0.37	0.25	-0.5
Accounts Payable	0.88	0.76	0.77	0.15		0.87	0.85	0.91	0.59	0.73	0.76	0.49	0.04	-0.08	-0.42	0.89	-0.03	0.19	-0.78	0.35	0.31	-0.25	-0.2	0.47	0.33	0.41	0.2	-0.09	0.0
Net Receivables	0.79	0.85	0.63	0.33	0.87		0.75	0.9	0.41	0.65	0.89	0.23	0.19	0.03	-0.62	0.74	-0.05	0.19	-0.89	0.61	0.29	-0.29	-0.01	0.15	-0.03	0.16	-0.12	0.14	-0.19
Total Liab	0.99	0.68	0.97	-0.15	0.85	0.75		0.91	0.64	0.95	0.64	0.58	-0.18	-0.35	-0.36	0.79	-0.41	-0.01	-0.6	0.2	0.12	-0.14	-0.12	0.55	0.19	0.22	0.26	-0.15	0.2
Total Current Assets	0.93	0.84	0.81	0.09	0.91	0.9	0.91		0.57	0.78	0.83	0.49	0.11	-0.02	-0.45	0.81	-0.11	0.04	-0.79	0.4	0.27	-0.21	-0.12	0.41	0.12	0.22	0.1	0.02	0.03
Short Term Debt	0.64	0.37	0.65	-0.24	0.59	0.41	0.64	0.57		0.53	0.45	0.7	-0.36	-0.22	0.23	0.71	-0.22	0.02	-0.27	-0.29	-0.04	-0.12	-0.74	0.73	0.63	0.47	0.73	-0.74	0.57
Common Stock	0.93	0.57	0.97	-0.27	0.73	0.65	0.95	0.78	0.53		0.53	0.42	-0.3	-0.57	-0.44	0.62	-0.61	-0.04	-0.49	0.24	0.05	-0.06	0.06	0.42	0.09	0.03	0.17	-0.09	0.15
Current Deferred Revenue	0.71	0.89	0.53	0.43	0.76	0.89	0.64	0.83	0.45	0.53		0.23	0.39	0.2	-0.61	0.72	0.12	0.26	-0.87	0.63	0.48	-0.07	-0.08	0.16	0.14	0.17	-0.05	0.04	-0.31
Long Term Debt	0.57	0.18	0.62	-0.23	0.49	0.23	0.58	0.49	0.7	0.42	0.23		-0.29	0.07	0.4	0.67	-0.12	0.06	-0.04	-0.47	-0.01	-0.18	-0.5	0.98	0.6	0.77	0.84	-0.53	0.6
Good Will	-0.09	0.48	-0.34	0.73	0.04	0.19	-0.18	0.11	-0.36	-0.3	0.39	-0.29		0.74	-0.31	0.06	0.8	-0.08	-0.4	0.48	0.48	0.18	0.09	-0.34	-0.13	-0.1	-0.51	0.4	-0.57
Short Term Investments	-0.28	0.16	-0.47	0.56	-0.08	0.03	-0.35	-0.02	-0.22	-0.57	0.2	0.07	0.74		0.13	0.05	0.83	0.05	-0.08	0.11	0.27	-0.04	-0.16	-0.02	0.02	0.31	-0.09	0.17	-0.26
Intangible Assets	-0.39	-0.55	-0.29	-0.29	-0.42	-0.62	-0.36	-0.45	0.23	-0.44	-0.61	0.4	-0.31	0.13		-0.18	0.13	-0.27	0.66	-0.95	-0.38	-0.04	-0.59	0.44	0.38	0.39	0.62	-0.57	0.78
Property Plant Equipment	0.83	0.73	0.71	0.25	0.89	0.74	0.79	0.81	0.71	0.62	0.72	0.67	0.06	0.05	-0.18		0.07	0.26	-0.64	0.11	0.33	-0.2	-0.44	0.65	0.46	0.57	0.44	-0.37	0.11
Treasury Stock	-0.33	0.18	-0.56	0.66	-0.03	-0.05	-0.41	-0.11	-0.22	-0.61	0.12	-0.12	0.8	0.83	0.13	0.07		0.06	-0.18	0.07	0.41	0.05	-0.25	-0.14	0.18	0.24	-0.16	0.11	-0.3
Net Tangible Assets	0.01	0.06	0.0	0.33	0.19	0.19	-0.01	0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.26	0.06	-0.08	0.05	-0.27	0.26	0.06		-0.28	0.23	0.51	-0.29	0.17	0.03	0.14	0.38	0.13	0.05	-0.4
Total Permanent Equity	-0.65	-0.85	-0.45	-0.56	-0.78	-0.89	-0.6	-0.79	-0.27	-0.49	-0.87	-0.04	-0.4	-0.08	0.66	-0.64	-0.18	-0.28		-0.66	-0.51	0.22	-0.1	0.02	-0.03	-0.07	0.28	-0.26	0.36
Capital Surpluse	0.25	0.54	0.1	0.39	0.35	0.61	0.2	0.4	-0.29	0.24	0.63	-0.47	0.48	0.11	-0.95	0.11	0.07	0.23	-0.66		0.34	-0.05	0.52	-0.53	-0.4	-0.36	-0.69	0.61	-0.83
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.17	0.48	0.06	0.55	0.31	0.29	0.12	0.27	-0.04	0.05	0.48	-0.01	0.48	0.27	-0.38	0.33	0.41	0.51	-0.51	0.34		0.37	0.13	-0.06	0.1	0.14	-0.11	0.33	-0.49
Long Term Investments	-0.13	0.01	-0.09	-0.07	-0.25	-0.29	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.18	0.18	-0.04	-0.04	-0.2	0.05	-0.29	0.22	-0.05	0.37		0.01	-0.16	-0.05	-0.36	-0.05	0.09	-0.13
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.14	-0.11	-0.08	0.09	-0.2	-0.01	-0.12	-0.12	-0.74	0.06	-0.08	-0.5	0.09	-0.16	-0.59	-0.44	-0.25	0.17	-0.1	0.52	0.13	0.01		-0.56	-0.59	-0.49	-0.67	0.81	-0.56
Long Term Debt Total	0.54	0.11	0.61	-0.26	0.47	0.15	0.55	0.41	0.73	0.42	0.16	0.98	-0.34	-0.02	0.44	0.65	-0.14	0.03	0.02	-0.53	-0.06	-0.16	-0.56		0.71	0.78	0.9	-0.64	0.63
Short Long Term Debt	0.22	-0.01	0.25	-0.03	0.33	-0.03	0.19	0.12	0.63	0.09	0.14	0.6	-0.13	0.02	0.38	0.46	0.18	0.14	-0.03	-0.4	0.1	-0.05	-0.59	0.71		0.67	0.76	-0.7	0.35
Cash And Equivalents	0.24	0.04	0.23	0.15	0.41	0.16	0.22	0.22	0.47	0.03	0.17	0.77	-0.1	0.31	0.39	0.57	0.24	0.38	-0.07	-0.36	0.14	-0.36	-0.49	0.78	0.67		0.73	-0.44	0.33
Net Invested Capital	0.24	-0.17	0.37	-0.37	0.2	-0.12	0.26	0.1	0.73	0.17	-0.05	0.84	-0.51	-0.09	0.62	0.44	-0.16	0.13	0.28	-0.69	-0.11	-0.05	-0.67	0.9	0.76	0.73		-0.8	0.66
Net Working Capital	-0.15	0.09	-0.21	0.25	-0.09	0.14	-0.15	0.02	-0.74	-0.09	0.04	-0.53	0.4	0.17	-0.57	-0.37	0.11	0.05	-0.26	0.61	0.33	0.09	0.81	-0.64	-0.7	-0.44	-0.8		-0.6
Capital Stock	0.15	-0.22	0.28	-0.5	0.0	-0.19	0.2	0.03	0.57	0.15	-0.31	0.6	-0.57	-0.26	0.78	0.11	-0.3	-0.4	0.36	-0.83	-0.49	-0.13	-0.56	0.63	0.35	0.33	0.66	-0.6

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict AES

In accordance with the company's disclosures, The AES has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector and about the same as Utilities (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

AES Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of AES from analyzing AES's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess AES's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of AES's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Market Cap	11.8B	13.4B	16.0B	19.1B	17.2B	18.1B
Enterprise Value	29.9B	32.5B	33.8B	41.3B	37.1B	19.2B

AES ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, AES's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to AES's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

AES Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in AES that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of AES's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing AES's value.

		Shares
Amvescap Plc.	2024-06-30	10.1 M
Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral-genossenschaftsbank Frankfurt Am Main	2024-09-30	7.5 M
Bank Of America Corp	2024-06-30	7.4 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company	2024-09-30	7.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	2024-06-30	7.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc	2024-09-30	6.7 M
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc	2024-09-30	6 M
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	5.9 M
Cbre Investment Management Listed Real Assets Llc	2024-09-30	5.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	95.4 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3	2024-09-30	62.1 M

AES Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.0255
	Return On Asset	0.0284
	Profit Margin	0.08 %
	Operating Margin	0.20 %
	Current Valuation	36.42 B
	Shares Outstanding	711.03 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.45 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	99.85 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	22.32 M
	Price To Earning	430.16 X
	Price To Book	2.72 X
	Price To Sales	0.75 X
	Revenue	12.67 B
	Gross Profit	2.55 B
	EBITDA	2.53 B
	Net Income	(182 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	1.37 B
	Cash Per Share	3.33 X
	Total Debt	26.88 B
	Debt To Equity	4.07 %
	Current Ratio	1.29 X
	Book Value Per Share	4.63 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	3.03 B
	Short Ratio	1.63 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.49 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.09 X
	Target Price	20.36
	Number Of Employees	9.6 K
	Beta	1.09
	Market Capitalization	9.24 B
	Total Asset	44.8 B
	Retained Earnings	(1.39 B)
	Working Capital	(3.08 B)
	Current Asset	6.87 B
	Current Liabilities	6.95 B
	Annual Yield	0.05 %
	Five Year Return	3.16 %
	Net Asset	44.8 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.69

About AES Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze The AES's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AES using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of The AES based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for AES Stock Analysis

When running AES's price analysis, check to measure AES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AES is operating at the current time. Most of AES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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The Aes Stock Z Score

The AES Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

AES Z Score Driver Correlations

AES Current Valuation Drivers

AES ESG Sustainability

AES Institutional Holders

AES Fundamentals

About AES Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for AES Stock Analysis

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