Allegiant Travel Stock Beneish M Score

ALGT Stock  USD 81.84  0.82  1.01%   
This module uses fundamental data of Allegiant Travel to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Allegiant Travel M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Allegiant Travel Piotroski F Score and Allegiant Travel Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Allegiant Stock please use our How to Invest in Allegiant Travel guide.
  
At this time, Allegiant Travel's Short and Long Term Debt Total is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is likely to gain to about 2.3 B in 2024, whereas Debt To Assets are likely to drop 0.34 in 2024. At this time, Allegiant Travel's Payout Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Capex To Operating Cash Flow is likely to gain to 2.16 in 2024, whereas Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 10.10 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Allegiant Travel is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Allegiant Travel's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Allegiant Travel executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Allegiant Travel's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.72
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.55

Focus
Asset Quality

1.35

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.9

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.17

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.9

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Allegiant Travel Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Allegiant Travel's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables40.5 M70.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue2.6 B2.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets5.1 B4.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets541.7 MB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total4.1 B3.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment3.5 B3.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization234.3 M223.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative105 M110.5 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.3 B1.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.4 B2.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt505.8 M481.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.9 B1.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities252.3 M423.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments705 M671.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Allegiant Travel Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Allegiant Travel's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Allegiant Travel in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Allegiant Travel's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Allegiant Travel Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

234.29 Million

At this time, Allegiant Travel's Depreciation And Amortization is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Allegiant Travel Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Allegiant Travel. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables25.5M192.2M62.7M106.6M70.7M40.5M
Total Revenue1.8B990.1M1.7B2.3B2.5B2.6B
Total Assets3.0B685.3M4.0B4.5B4.9B5.1B
Total Current Assets562.2M943.6M1.3B1.3B1.0B541.7M
Net Debt1.3B1.6B1.5B2.0B2.2B2.3B
Short Term Debt173.3M245.9M168.2M192.8M481.7M505.8M
Long Term Debt1.2B1.4B1.6B1.9B1.8B1.9B
Operating Income221.4M(146.8M)98.1M(54.9M)221.0M121.7M
Investments18.6M(94.4M)(343.6M)(491.4M)(693.2M)(658.6M)

Allegiant Travel ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Allegiant Travel's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Allegiant Travel's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Allegiant Travel Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Allegiant Travel's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Allegiant Travel using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Allegiant Travel based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Allegiant Stock Analysis

When running Allegiant Travel's price analysis, check to measure Allegiant Travel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allegiant Travel is operating at the current time. Most of Allegiant Travel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allegiant Travel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allegiant Travel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allegiant Travel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.