Ares Capital Stock Beneish M Score

ARCC Stock  USD 22.15  0.14  0.64%   
This module uses fundamental data of Ares Capital to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Ares Capital M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Ares Capital Piotroski F Score and Ares Capital Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Ares Stock refer to our How to Trade Ares Stock guide.
  
At present, Ares Capital's Long Term Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 14.7 B, whereas Net Debt is projected to grow to (508.2 M). At present, Ares Capital's Operating Cash Flow Per Share is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's EV To Sales is expected to grow to 17.63, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 5.06.
At this time, it appears that Ares Capital is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Ares Capital's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Ares Capital executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Ares Capital's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
25.01
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

69.42

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.92

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.78

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.92

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.99

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.35

Focus

Ares Capital Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Ares Capital's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables274.1 M261 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue2.2 B2.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets25 B23.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets756.2 M796 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total9.5 M10 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment35.8 M18 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative40.7 M42 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities715 M681 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total13.2 B12.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt16.1 M17 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt14.7 B14 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income646.6 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments18.9 B19.9 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments16 B22.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.650.8293
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable

Ares Capital Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Ares Capital's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Ares Capital in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Ares Capital's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Ares Capital Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

(1.77 Billion)

At present, Ares Capital's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Ares Capital Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Ares Capital. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables131M223M222M180M261M274.1M
Total Revenue824M541M1.7B741M2.1B2.2B
Total Assets14.9B16.2B20.8B22.4B23.8B25.0B
Total Current Assets307M477M594M483M796M756.2M
Net Debt6.9B8.3B10.8B12.0B(535M)(508.3M)
Short Term Debt121M59M43M807M17M16.2M
Long Term Debt4.9B5.2B7.0B12.2B14.0B14.7B
Operating Income809M503M1.6B1.1B1.3B646.6M
Gross Profit Margin0.540.340.610.370.830.65

Ares Capital ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ares Capital's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ares Capital's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Ares Capital Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ares Capital's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ares Capital using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ares Capital based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Ares Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ares Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ares Capital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ares Capital Stock:
Check out Ares Capital Piotroski F Score and Ares Capital Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Ares Stock refer to our How to Trade Ares Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ares Capital. If investors know Ares will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ares Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Dividend Share
1.92
Earnings Share
2.6
Revenue Per Share
4.868
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.183
The market value of Ares Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ares Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ares Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ares Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ares Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ares Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ares Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ares Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.