Athabasca Oil Corp Stock Beneish M Score

ATH Stock  CAD 5.23  0.09  1.75%   
This module uses fundamental data of Athabasca Oil to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Athabasca Oil M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Athabasca Oil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
As of the 3rd of December 2024, Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is likely to grow to 1.75, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop about 176.3 M. At this time, Athabasca Oil's ROIC is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 3rd of December 2024, Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to 22.25, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.94.
At this time, Athabasca Oil's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Athabasca Oil's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Athabasca Oil executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Athabasca Oil's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-4.37
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

0.68

Focus
Asset Quality

-0.25

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.09

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.69

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.09

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.22

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

3.36

Focus

Athabasca Oil Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Athabasca Oil's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables71.8 M100.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.3 B1.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total AssetsBB
Slightly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets641.5 M500.6 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.9 B1.5 B
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Property Plant Equipment1.4 B1.3 B
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization101.2 M110.8 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative85.6 M74.9 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities241.4 M185.1 M
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total442.5 M280.1 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable

Athabasca Oil Corp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Athabasca Oil's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Athabasca Oil in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Athabasca Oil's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Athabasca Oil Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

101.16 Million

At this time, Athabasca Oil's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Athabasca Oil Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Athabasca Oil. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables120.2M62.5M88.8M89.5M100.1M71.8M
Total Revenue836.9M464.6M1.0B1.5B1.2B1.3B
Total Assets2.1B1.4B1.7B2.2B2.0B2.0B
Total Current Assets462.1M269.7M370.1M356.6M500.6M641.5M
Net Debt305.3M394.3M161.2M8.6M(157.8M)(149.9M)
Long Term Debt559.7M559.5M309.6M147.8M179.7M170.7M
Operating Income104.2M(187.3M)307.3M286.8M219.9M230.9M
Investments90.1M(61.0M)22.7M(146.0M)20.6M19.5M
Gross Profit Margin0.50.340.560.490.250.17

About Athabasca Oil Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Athabasca Oil Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Athabasca Oil using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Athabasca Oil Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Athabasca Oil

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Athabasca Oil position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Athabasca Oil will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Athabasca Stock

  0.42AIM Aimia IncPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Athabasca Oil could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Athabasca Oil when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Athabasca Oil - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Athabasca Oil Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Athabasca Oil is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Athabasca Oil moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Athabasca Oil Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Athabasca Oil can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Athabasca Stock

Athabasca Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Athabasca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Athabasca with respect to the benefits of owning Athabasca Oil security.