Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

ATI Stock

USD 54.46 0.23 0.42%

Allegheny Technologies' risk of distress is less than 3% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Allegheny balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Allegheny Technologies Piotroski F Score and Allegheny Technologies Altman Z Score analysis.

The Allegheny Technologies' current Market Cap is estimated to increase to about 2 B. The Allegheny Technologies' current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 2.4 B

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Company probability of distress Analysis

Allegheny Technologies' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Allegheny Technologies Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of Allegheny Technologies' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Allegheny Technologies Incorporated is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Allegheny Technologies probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Allegheny Technologies odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated financial health.

Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allegheny Technologies. If investors know Allegheny will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Allegheny Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.07)

Earnings Share

2.6

Revenue Per Share

33.577

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.025

Return On Assets

0.0557

The market value of Allegheny Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Allegheny that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Allegheny Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Allegheny Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Allegheny Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Allegheny Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Good Will	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Cash And Equivalents
Total Assets		0.9	0.46	0.81	0.65	0.26	0.89	0.83	0.68	-0.71	0.23	0.25	0.41	0.51	0.93	-0.35	0.02	0.52	0.18	0.02	0.59	-0.27	0.45	-0.32	-0.21	0.17
Total Stockholder Equity	0.9		0.15	0.89	0.58	0.34	0.9	0.51	0.5	-0.55	0.22	0.38	0.03	0.14	0.85	-0.56	0.25	0.82	-0.16	-0.27	0.59	-0.48	0.59	-0.44	-0.14	0.09
Net Debt	0.46	0.15		0.16	0.29	0.05	0.37	0.72	0.27	-0.46	-0.18	-0.02	0.81	0.66	0.52	-0.18	-0.48	-0.32	0.72	0.39	-0.02	0.28	0.27	-0.02	-0.17	0.13
Retained Earnings	0.81	0.89	0.16		0.36	0.13	0.93	0.47	0.29	-0.37	0.17	0.47	-0.1	0.08	0.81	-0.38	0.26	0.8	-0.36	-0.47	0.53	-0.41	0.58	-0.74	-0.53	0.49
Accounts Payable	0.65	0.58	0.29	0.36		0.75	0.37	0.54	0.8	-0.31	-0.08	0.1	0.45	0.33	0.46	-0.33	-0.01	0.32	0.29	0.42	0.18	-0.31	0.41	0.23	0.04	0.01
Net Receivables	0.26	0.34	0.05	0.13	0.75		0.11	0.06	0.55	0.02	-0.14	0.39	0.19	-0.2	0.02	-0.4	0.35	0.3	0.15	0.22	-0.17	-0.15	0.43	0.27	0.16	-0.14
Good Will	0.89	0.9	0.37	0.93	0.37	0.11		0.62	0.33	-0.65	0.13	0.42	0.1	0.28	0.92	-0.44	0.09	0.64	-0.1	-0.34	0.49	-0.29	0.5	-0.63	-0.31	0.25
Total Liab	0.83	0.51	0.72	0.47	0.54	0.06	0.62		0.71	-0.71	0.18	0.02	0.78	0.83	0.75	0.01	-0.3	-0.02	0.58	0.38	0.42	0.08	0.15	-0.07	-0.24	0.21
Total Current Assets	0.68	0.5	0.27	0.29	0.8	0.55	0.33	0.71		-0.46	0.34	0.12	0.63	0.43	0.39	-0.09	0.19	0.15	0.49	0.45	0.42	-0.07	0.13	0.26	0.02	-0.03
Common Stock	-0.71	-0.55	-0.46	-0.37	-0.31	0.02	-0.65	-0.71	-0.46		-0.12	-0.13	-0.45	-0.64	-0.7	0.2	0.19	-0.06	-0.43	-0.14	-0.31	-0.07	0.12	0.05	-0.31	0.31
Short Term Debt	0.23	0.22	-0.18	0.17	-0.08	-0.14	0.13	0.18	0.34	-0.12		-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.11	-0.02	0.4	0.25	0.06	-0.2	0.77	0.26	-0.03	-0.16	-0.06	0.05
Intangible Assets	0.25	0.38	-0.02	0.47	0.1	0.39	0.42	0.02	0.12	-0.13	-0.07		-0.14	-0.27	0.16	-0.23	0.47	0.38	-0.25	-0.34	-0.02	-0.19	0.23	-0.42	-0.25	0.22
Long Term Debt	0.41	0.03	0.81	-0.1	0.45	0.19	0.1	0.78	0.63	-0.45	0.02	-0.14		0.75	0.3	0.07	-0.39	-0.49	0.93	0.74	0.05	0.31	0.03	0.41	0.03	-0.06
Treasury Stock	0.51	0.14	0.66	0.08	0.33	-0.2	0.28	0.83	0.43	-0.64	-0.03	-0.27	0.75		0.53	0.32	-0.68	-0.39	0.62	0.65	0.14	0.19	-0.17	0.17	-0.05	0.05
Property Plant Equipment	0.93	0.85	0.52	0.81	0.46	0.02	0.92	0.75	0.39	-0.7	0.11	0.16	0.3	0.53		-0.38	-0.2	0.5	0.09	-0.07	0.55	-0.28	0.49	-0.44	-0.24	0.18
Short Term Investments	-0.35	-0.56	-0.18	-0.38	-0.33	-0.4	-0.44	0.01	-0.09	0.2	-0.02	-0.23	0.07	0.32	-0.38		-0.3	-0.56	0.03	0.35	-0.25	0.37	-0.56	0.23	-0.24	0.22
Current Deferred Revenue	0.02	0.25	-0.48	0.26	-0.01	0.35	0.09	-0.3	0.19	0.19	0.4	0.47	-0.39	-0.68	-0.2	-0.3		0.52	-0.39	-0.51	0.19	-0.18	0.14	-0.26	-0.07	0.06
Net Tangible Assets	0.52	0.82	-0.32	0.8	0.32	0.3	0.64	-0.02	0.15	-0.06	0.25	0.38	-0.49	-0.39	0.5	-0.56	0.52		-0.63	-0.62	0.53	-0.57	0.61	-0.57	-0.23	0.2
Long Term Debt Total	0.18	-0.16	0.72	-0.36	0.29	0.15	-0.1	0.58	0.49	-0.43	0.06	-0.25	0.93	0.62	0.09	0.03	-0.39	-0.63		0.71	-0.05	0.48	-0.14	0.57	0.33	-0.34
Capital Surpluse	0.02	-0.27	0.39	-0.47	0.42	0.22	-0.34	0.38	0.45	-0.14	-0.2	-0.34	0.74	0.65	-0.07	0.35	-0.51	-0.62	0.71		-0.27	0.12	-0.2	0.75	0.25	-0.24
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.59	0.59	-0.02	0.53	0.18	-0.17	0.49	0.42	0.42	-0.31	0.77	-0.02	0.05	0.14	0.55	-0.25	0.19	0.53	-0.05	-0.27		-0.2	0.2	-0.35	-0.19	0.17
Short Long Term Debt	-0.27	-0.48	0.28	-0.41	-0.31	-0.15	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-0.07	0.26	-0.19	0.31	0.19	-0.28	0.37	-0.18	-0.57	0.48	0.12	-0.2		-0.34	0.18	0.08	-0.06
Net Invested Capital	0.45	0.59	0.27	0.58	0.41	0.43	0.5	0.15	0.13	0.12	-0.03	0.23	0.03	-0.17	0.49	-0.56	0.14	0.61	-0.14	-0.2	0.2	-0.34		-0.28	-0.37	0.27
Net Working Capital	-0.32	-0.44	-0.02	-0.74	0.23	0.27	-0.63	-0.07	0.26	0.05	-0.16	-0.42	0.41	0.17	-0.44	0.23	-0.26	-0.57	0.57	0.75	-0.35	0.18	-0.28		0.65	-0.65
Capital Stock	-0.21	-0.14	-0.17	-0.53	0.04	0.16	-0.31	-0.24	0.02	-0.31	-0.06	-0.25	0.03	-0.05	-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.23	0.33	0.25	-0.19	0.08	-0.37	0.65		-0.95
Cash And Equivalents	0.17	0.09	0.13	0.49	0.01	-0.14	0.25	0.21	-0.03	0.31	0.05	0.22	-0.06	0.05	0.18	0.22	0.06	0.2	-0.34	-0.24	0.17	-0.06	0.27	-0.65	-0.95

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0457	(0.39)	(0.00378)	0.0294	0.0824	0.0865
Net Debt	908.1M	921.9M	1.2B	1.2B	1.4B	806.0M
Total Current Liabilities	849.2M	653.3M	856.4M	963.9M	977.1M	764.3M
Non Current Liabilities Total	2.6B	2.7B	2.6B	2.3B	2.5B	2.1B
Total Assets	5.6B	4.0B	4.3B	4.4B	5.0B	4.6B
Total Current Assets	2.3B	2.1B	2.3B	2.5B	2.7B	2.0B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	230.1M	166.9M	16.1M	224.9M	85.9M	81.6M

	Return On Equity	0.24
	Return On Asset	0.0557
	Profit Margin	0.09 %
	Operating Margin	0.13 %
	Current Valuation	9.25 B
	Shares Outstanding	142.64 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.94 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	94.09 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.57 M
	Price To Earning	153.89 X
	Price To Book	4.34 X
	Price To Sales	1.83 X
	Revenue	7.54 B
	Gross Profit	714.2 M
	EBITDA	466.4 M
	Net Income	410.8 M
	Cash And Equivalents	584 M
	Cash Per Share	2.55 X
	Total Debt	2.18 B
	Debt To Equity	1.84 %
	Current Ratio	2.88 X
	Book Value Per Share	12.56 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	85.9 M
	Short Ratio	1.47 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.60 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.20 X
	Target Price	71.33
	Number Of Employees	7.3 K
	Beta	1.08
	Market Capitalization	7.77 B
	Total Asset	4.99 B
	Retained Earnings	(70.1 M)
	Working Capital	1.76 B
	Current Asset	1.87 B
	Current Liabilities	686.5 M
	Five Year Return	2.44 %
	Net Asset	4.99 B

C	Citigroup
GM	General Motors
F	Ford Motor
GM	General Motors
V	Visa Class A

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Allegheny Technologies Probability Of Bankruptcy

Allegheny Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Allegheny Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Allegheny Technologies Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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