Avista Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AVA Stock

USD 36.52 0.33 0.91%

Avista's odds of distress is under 37% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Avista balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Avista Piotroski F Score and Avista Altman Z Score analysis.

For information on how to trade Avista Stock refer to our How to Trade Avista Stock guide.

The current year's Market Cap is expected to grow to about 3.1 B

Avista Company chance of distress Analysis

Avista's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Avista Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 37%

Most of Avista's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Avista is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Avista probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Avista odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Avista financial health.

Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avista. If investors know Avista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avista listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.211

Dividend Share

1.885

Earnings Share

2.53

Revenue Per Share

24.563

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.037

The market value of Avista is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avista that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avista's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avista's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avista's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avista's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Short Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Intangible Assets	Good Will	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.98	0.89	0.26	0.74	1.0	0.44	0.98	0.82	-0.34	0.61	0.98	0.61	-0.3	0.29	0.93	0.9	0.37	0.75	0.8	0.64	0.74	0.42	0.69
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		1.0	0.84	0.11	0.64	0.96	0.31	0.99	0.85	-0.43	0.66	0.99	0.58	-0.4	0.19	0.94	0.92	0.4	0.76	0.8	0.63	0.73	0.39	0.67
Net Debt	0.98	1.0		0.84	0.15	0.68	0.96	0.35	0.99	0.85	-0.4	0.67	0.98	0.56	-0.4	0.2	0.94	0.92	0.38	0.77	0.8	0.62	0.75	0.39	0.69
Retained Earnings	0.89	0.84	0.84		0.21	0.62	0.91	0.44	0.82	0.77	-0.49	0.54	0.86	0.66	-0.36	0.26	0.88	0.85	0.38	0.76	0.8	0.69	0.78	0.59	0.74
Accounts Payable	0.26	0.11	0.15	0.21		0.77	0.31	0.89	0.18	-0.08	0.64	-0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.35	0.51	0.13	0.12	-0.19	0.17	0.08	0.01	0.32	0.13	0.34
Net Receivables	0.74	0.64	0.68	0.62	0.77		0.77	0.82	0.69	0.5	0.23	0.38	0.64	0.35	0.13	0.44	0.62	0.6	0.06	0.53	0.49	0.37	0.62	0.27	0.61
Total Liab	1.0	0.96	0.96	0.91	0.31	0.77		0.48	0.96	0.8	-0.31	0.59	0.97	0.61	-0.26	0.33	0.91	0.88	0.36	0.74	0.79	0.64	0.74	0.43	0.69
Total Current Assets	0.44	0.31	0.35	0.44	0.89	0.82	0.48		0.39	0.24	0.36	0.18	0.3	0.14	0.19	0.36	0.42	0.43	-0.01	0.31	0.29	0.22	0.63	0.4	0.67
Common Stock	0.98	0.99	0.99	0.82	0.18	0.69	0.96	0.39		0.83	-0.37	0.65	0.98	0.57	-0.35	0.22	0.95	0.92	0.39	0.73	0.78	0.62	0.76	0.4	0.71
Long Term Debt	0.82	0.85	0.85	0.77	-0.08	0.5	0.8	0.24	0.83		-0.58	0.54	0.85	0.48	-0.36	-0.05	0.86	0.88	0.35	0.64	0.67	0.51	0.66	0.46	0.62
Short Term Investments	-0.34	-0.43	-0.4	-0.49	0.64	0.23	-0.31	0.36	-0.37	-0.58		-0.41	-0.43	-0.19	0.5	0.3	-0.48	-0.47	-0.56	-0.36	-0.5	-0.39	-0.33	-0.28	-0.3
Short Term Debt	0.61	0.66	0.67	0.54	-0.01	0.38	0.59	0.18	0.65	0.54	-0.41		0.6	0.26	-0.51	-0.14	0.69	0.59	0.1	0.67	0.91	0.84	0.65	0.02	0.6
Property Plant Equipment	0.98	0.99	0.98	0.86	0.11	0.64	0.97	0.3	0.98	0.85	-0.43	0.6		0.62	-0.34	0.27	0.93	0.9	0.39	0.69	0.78	0.63	0.68	0.4	0.63
Current Deferred Revenue	0.61	0.58	0.56	0.66	-0.01	0.35	0.61	0.14	0.57	0.48	-0.19	0.26	0.62		-0.34	0.19	0.61	0.57	0.19	0.5	0.42	0.57	0.5	0.4	0.48
Intangible Assets	-0.3	-0.4	-0.4	-0.36	0.35	0.13	-0.26	0.19	-0.35	-0.36	0.5	-0.51	-0.34	-0.34		0.2	-0.47	-0.49	0.01	-0.66	-0.43	-0.44	-0.48	-0.33	-0.4
Good Will	0.29	0.19	0.2	0.26	0.51	0.44	0.33	0.36	0.22	-0.05	0.3	-0.14	0.27	0.19	0.2		0.15	0.14	-0.23	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.01	0.05	0.02
Net Tangible Assets	0.93	0.94	0.94	0.88	0.13	0.62	0.91	0.42	0.95	0.86	-0.48	0.69	0.93	0.61	-0.47	0.15		0.98	0.37	0.77	0.82	0.68	0.89	0.56	0.85
Long Term Debt Total	0.9	0.92	0.92	0.85	0.12	0.6	0.88	0.43	0.92	0.88	-0.47	0.59	0.9	0.57	-0.49	0.14	0.98		0.37	0.75	0.73	0.57	0.87	0.63	0.84
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.37	0.4	0.38	0.38	-0.19	0.06	0.36	-0.01	0.39	0.35	-0.56	0.1	0.39	0.19	0.01	-0.23	0.37	0.37		0.21	0.27	0.15	0.34	0.18	0.35
Long Term Investments	0.75	0.76	0.77	0.76	0.17	0.53	0.74	0.31	0.73	0.64	-0.36	0.67	0.69	0.5	-0.66	-0.1	0.77	0.75	0.21		0.75	0.61	0.77	0.45	0.7
Short Long Term Debt	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.08	0.49	0.79	0.29	0.78	0.67	-0.5	0.91	0.78	0.42	-0.43	0.0	0.82	0.73	0.27	0.75		0.89	0.73	0.24	0.68
Cash And Equivalents	0.64	0.63	0.62	0.69	0.01	0.37	0.64	0.22	0.62	0.51	-0.39	0.84	0.63	0.57	-0.44	0.0	0.68	0.57	0.15	0.61	0.89		0.63	0.15	0.59
Net Invested Capital	0.74	0.73	0.75	0.78	0.32	0.62	0.74	0.63	0.76	0.66	-0.33	0.65	0.68	0.5	-0.48	0.01	0.89	0.87	0.34	0.77	0.73	0.63		0.64	0.99
Net Working Capital	0.42	0.39	0.39	0.59	0.13	0.27	0.43	0.4	0.4	0.46	-0.28	0.02	0.4	0.4	-0.33	0.05	0.56	0.63	0.18	0.45	0.24	0.15	0.64		0.65
Capital Stock	0.69	0.67	0.69	0.74	0.34	0.61	0.69	0.67	0.71	0.62	-0.3	0.6	0.63	0.48	-0.4	0.02	0.85	0.84	0.35	0.7	0.68	0.59	0.99	0.65

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0324	0.0202	0.0215	0.0209	0.0222	0.0244
Gross Profit Margin	0.64	0.65	0.67	0.7	0.6	0.38
Net Debt	2.2B	2.4B	2.6B	2.9B	3.0B	1.6B
Total Current Liabilities	530.7M	505.9M	913.1M	964.5M	775.2M	771.7M
Non Current Liabilities Total	3.6B	3.9B	3.8B	4.1B	4.4B	2.7B
Total Assets	6.1B	6.4B	6.9B	7.4B	7.7B	5.1B
Total Current Assets	305.1M	344.0M	434.5M	721.8M	661.8M	707.8M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	398.2M	331.0M	267.3M	124.2M	447.1M	253.5M

	Return On Equity	0.0798
	Return On Asset	0.025
	Profit Margin	0.10 %
	Operating Margin	0.13 %
	Current Valuation	5.94 B
	Shares Outstanding	79.18 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.87 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	89.08 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.58 M
	Price To Earning	21.14 X
	Price To Book	1.14 X
	Price To Sales	1.51 X
	Revenue	1.75 B
	Gross Profit	974.35 M
	EBITDA	542.62 M
	Net Income	171.18 M
	Cash And Equivalents	13.43 M
	Cash Per Share	0.30 X
	Total Debt	3.03 B
	Debt To Equity	1.18 %
	Current Ratio	0.75 X
	Book Value Per Share	31.93 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	447.08 M
	Short Ratio	4.80 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.53 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.89 X
	Target Price	39.4
	Beta	0.46
	Market Capitalization	2.9 B
	Total Asset	7.7 B
	Retained Earnings	841.35 M
	Working Capital	(113.36 M)
	Current Asset	306.05 M
	Current Liabilities	474.68 M
	Annual Yield	0.05 %
	Five Year Return	3.62 %
	Net Asset	7.7 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.89

Avista Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Avista Company chance of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Avista Probability Of Bankruptcy

Avista Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Avista Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Avista Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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