American Water Works Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AWK Stock

USD 136.94 1.37 0.99%

American Water's odds of distress is under 36% at the moment. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Odds of financial distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate American Water's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the American balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out American Water Piotroski F Score and American Water Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is expected to rise to about 26.2 B this year, although Enterprise Value will most likely fall to about 2 B.

American Water Works Company odds of financial distress Analysis

American Water's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current American Water Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 36%

Most of American Water's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, American Water Works is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of American Water probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting American Water odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of American Water Works financial health.

Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Water. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.084

Dividend Share

2.945

Earnings Share

5.03

Revenue Per Share

23.124

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.134

The market value of American Water Works is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Accounts Payable	Current Deferred Revenue	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Property Plant Equipment	Treasury Stock	Good Will	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.99	0.64	0.95	1.0	0.86	0.47	-0.44	0.38	0.68	-0.67	0.62	0.55	0.25	0.07	0.26	0.61	0.75	0.82	-0.4	-0.71	0.6	0.29	0.82	0.69	-0.56
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		0.96	0.65	0.97	0.96	0.79	0.33	-0.37	0.4	0.61	-0.64	0.56	0.64	0.14	0.04	0.2	0.6	0.71	0.85	-0.35	-0.62	0.49	0.21	0.82	0.68	-0.69
Net Debt	0.99	0.96		0.68	0.91	1.0	0.89	0.5	-0.48	0.36	0.75	-0.63	0.68	0.56	0.24	0.08	0.24	0.62	0.79	0.81	-0.45	-0.72	0.64	0.32	0.85	0.7	-0.51
Retained Earnings	0.64	0.65	0.68		0.55	0.62	0.67	0.11	-0.76	-0.12	0.8	0.13	0.67	0.57	-0.11	0.22	0.12	0.58	0.82	0.81	-0.64	-0.56	0.47	0.22	0.89	0.69	-0.62
Net Receivables	0.95	0.97	0.91	0.55		0.93	0.74	0.42	-0.3	0.36	0.53	-0.71	0.42	0.53	0.18	0.07	0.2	0.63	0.6	0.77	-0.19	-0.67	0.51	0.19	0.71	0.55	-0.61
Total Liab	1.0	0.96	1.0	0.62	0.93		0.88	0.53	-0.46	0.37	0.69	-0.68	0.64	0.5	0.3	0.08	0.28	0.6	0.75	0.79	-0.41	-0.74	0.65	0.33	0.8	0.69	-0.49
Total Current Assets	0.86	0.79	0.89	0.67	0.74	0.88		0.51	-0.54	0.21	0.66	-0.45	0.67	0.33	0.44	0.12	0.32	0.56	0.79	0.72	-0.45	-0.69	0.65	0.63	0.79	0.82	-0.38
Short Term Debt	0.47	0.33	0.5	0.11	0.42	0.53	0.51		-0.42	0.07	0.44	-0.47	0.39	-0.09	0.34	0.2	0.38	0.15	0.31	0.18	-0.28	-0.66	0.88	0.46	0.22	0.03	0.2
Intangible Assets	-0.44	-0.37	-0.48	-0.76	-0.3	-0.46	-0.54	-0.42		0.33	-0.65	-0.2	-0.7	-0.09	-0.18	-0.26	-0.43	-0.17	-0.62	-0.55	0.85	0.67	-0.77	-0.25	-0.56	-0.54	0.28
Accounts Payable	0.38	0.4	0.36	-0.12	0.36	0.37	0.21	0.07	0.33		0.12	-0.66	0.26	0.43	-0.09	-0.3	-0.36	0.17	0.28	0.26	0.06	0.14	-0.1	-0.09	0.27	0.1	0.04
Current Deferred Revenue	0.68	0.61	0.75	0.8	0.53	0.69	0.66	0.44	-0.65	0.12		-0.12	0.72	0.57	-0.11	0.15	-0.02	0.57	0.81	0.61	-0.62	-0.59	0.62	0.17	0.81	0.45	-0.28
Common Stock	-0.67	-0.64	-0.63	0.13	-0.71	-0.68	-0.45	-0.47	-0.2	-0.66	-0.12		-0.15	-0.2	-0.39	0.13	-0.12	-0.28	-0.18	-0.27	-0.14	0.37	-0.28	-0.1	-0.21	-0.2	0.11
Long Term Debt	0.62	0.56	0.68	0.67	0.42	0.64	0.67	0.39	-0.7	0.26	0.72	-0.15		0.45	0.06	-0.02	0.14	0.31	0.85	0.69	-0.87	-0.52	0.59	0.28	0.78	0.64	-0.21
Short Term Investments	0.55	0.64	0.56	0.57	0.53	0.5	0.33	-0.09	-0.09	0.43	0.57	-0.2	0.45		-0.56	-0.13	-0.32	0.38	0.53	0.6	-0.31	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.72	0.26	-0.66
Property Plant Equipment	0.25	0.14	0.24	-0.11	0.18	0.3	0.44	0.34	-0.18	-0.09	-0.11	-0.39	0.06	-0.56		0.08	0.49	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	-0.4	0.33	0.4	-0.12	0.44	0.16
Treasury Stock	0.07	0.04	0.08	0.22	0.07	0.08	0.12	0.2	-0.26	-0.3	0.15	0.13	-0.02	-0.13	0.08		0.15	0.17	0.13	0.11	-0.01	-0.25	0.19	0.05	0.09	0.1	-0.03
Good Will	0.26	0.2	0.24	0.12	0.2	0.28	0.32	0.38	-0.43	-0.36	-0.02	-0.12	0.14	-0.32	0.49	0.15		-0.14	0.08	0.25	-0.25	-0.5	0.51	0.43	0.03	0.33	-0.2
Net Tangible Assets	0.61	0.6	0.62	0.58	0.63	0.6	0.56	0.15	-0.17	0.17	0.57	-0.28	0.31	0.38	-0.06	0.17	-0.14		0.71	0.65	-0.01	-0.61	0.15	0.07	0.7	0.46	-0.23
Long Term Debt Total	0.75	0.71	0.79	0.82	0.6	0.75	0.79	0.31	-0.62	0.28	0.81	-0.18	0.85	0.53	-0.01	0.13	0.08	0.71		0.87	-0.64	-0.64	0.49	0.29	0.94	0.73	-0.31
Capital Surpluse	0.82	0.85	0.81	0.81	0.77	0.79	0.72	0.18	-0.55	0.26	0.61	-0.27	0.69	0.6	-0.06	0.11	0.25	0.65	0.87		-0.53	-0.62	0.42	0.21	0.92	0.74	-0.65
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.4	-0.35	-0.45	-0.64	-0.19	-0.41	-0.45	-0.28	0.85	0.06	-0.62	-0.14	-0.87	-0.31	-0.02	-0.01	-0.25	-0.01	-0.64	-0.53		0.42	-0.61	-0.2	-0.58	-0.51	0.26
Long Term Investments	-0.71	-0.62	-0.72	-0.56	-0.67	-0.74	-0.69	-0.66	0.67	0.14	-0.59	0.37	-0.52	-0.01	-0.4	-0.25	-0.5	-0.61	-0.64	-0.62	0.42		-0.75	-0.25	-0.55	-0.53	0.19
Short Long Term Debt	0.6	0.49	0.64	0.47	0.51	0.65	0.65	0.88	-0.77	-0.1	0.62	-0.28	0.59	0.06	0.33	0.19	0.51	0.15	0.49	0.42	-0.61	-0.75		0.48	0.45	0.31	-0.13
Cash And Equivalents	0.29	0.21	0.32	0.22	0.19	0.33	0.63	0.46	-0.25	-0.09	0.17	-0.1	0.28	-0.04	0.4	0.05	0.43	0.07	0.29	0.21	-0.2	-0.25	0.48		0.29	0.35	-0.08
Net Invested Capital	0.82	0.82	0.85	0.89	0.71	0.8	0.79	0.22	-0.56	0.27	0.81	-0.21	0.78	0.72	-0.12	0.09	0.03	0.7	0.94	0.92	-0.58	-0.55	0.45	0.29		0.72	-0.57
Net Working Capital	0.69	0.68	0.7	0.69	0.55	0.69	0.82	0.03	-0.54	0.1	0.45	-0.2	0.64	0.26	0.44	0.1	0.33	0.46	0.73	0.74	-0.51	-0.53	0.31	0.35	0.72		-0.49
Capital Stock	-0.56	-0.69	-0.51	-0.62	-0.61	-0.49	-0.38	0.2	0.28	0.04	-0.28	0.11	-0.21	-0.66	0.16	-0.03	-0.2	-0.23	-0.31	-0.65	0.26	0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.57	-0.49

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0274	0.0286	0.0484	0.0295	0.0312	0.0241
Net Debt	9.5B	10.5B	10.9B	12.4B	12.1B	12.7B
Total Current Liabilities	2.0B	2.9B	2.1B	2.8B	2.2B	1.2B
Non Current Liabilities Total	14.5B	15.4B	16.6B	17.3B	18.4B	19.3B
Total Assets	22.7B	24.8B	26.1B	27.8B	30.3B	31.8B
Total Current Assets	1.3B	1.9B	1.6B	1.3B	1.4B	1.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	1.4B	1.4B	1.4B	1.1B	1.9B	2.0B

	Return On Equity	0.097
	Return On Asset	0.0334
	Profit Margin	0.22 %
	Operating Margin	0.42 %
	Current Valuation	40.26 B
	Shares Outstanding	194.89 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.12 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	94.12 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	4.04 M
	Price To Earning	38.22 X
	Price To Book	2.60 X
	Price To Sales	5.97 X
	Revenue	4.23 B
	Gross Profit	2.2 B
	EBITDA	2.36 B
	Net Income	944 M
	Cash And Equivalents	85 M
	Cash Per Share	0.53 X
	Total Debt	12.44 B
	Debt To Equity	1.55 %
	Current Ratio	0.59 X
	Book Value Per Share	53.17 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	1.87 B
	Short Ratio	3.86 X
	Earnings Per Share	5.03 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	3.09 X
	Target Price	142.18
	Number Of Employees	6.5 K
	Beta	0.7
	Market Capitalization	26.96 B
	Total Asset	30.3 B
	Retained Earnings	1.66 B
	Working Capital	(762 M)
	Current Asset	657 M
	Current Liabilities	1.53 B
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	1.63 %
	Net Asset	30.3 B
	Last Dividend Paid	2.95

American Water Works Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

American Water Works Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current American Water Probability Of Bankruptcy

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

American Water Main Bankruptcy Drivers

American Water ESG Sustainability

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