Azek Company Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AZEK Stock  USD 53.12  0.86  1.65%   
Azek's odds of distress is below 1% at the moment. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial straits in the next two years. Odds of financial distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate Azek's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Azek balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Azek Piotroski F Score and Azek Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The value of Market Cap is estimated to slide to about 3.6 B. The Enterprise Value is projected to slide to about 4 B

Azek Company Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Azek's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Azek Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of Azek's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Azek Company is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Azek probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Azek odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Azek Company financial health.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Azek. If investors know Azek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Azek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.478
Earnings Share
1.04
Revenue Per Share
10.094
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.121
Return On Assets
0.0603
The market value of Azek Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Azek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Azek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Azek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Azek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Azek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Azek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Azek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Azek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Azek Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Azek is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Azek Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Azek's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Azek's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Azek's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.440.70.550.320.80.820.890.94-0.31-0.91-0.940.66-0.920.89-0.890.88-0.880.91-0.51-0.910.95-0.48
0.440.24-0.17-0.210.20.70.490.29-0.3-0.51-0.30.67-0.230.22-0.210.4-0.560.21-0.08-0.530.37-0.8
0.70.240.720.580.890.760.770.81-0.05-0.78-0.80.43-0.80.79-0.720.72-0.750.81-0.48-0.850.79-0.32
0.55-0.170.720.340.830.540.690.75-0.29-0.57-0.710.39-0.740.7-0.680.72-0.530.77-0.17-0.610.71-0.07
0.32-0.210.580.340.330.070.230.330.39-0.25-0.34-0.11-0.320.31-0.330.23-0.170.38-0.3-0.220.280.11
0.80.20.890.830.330.820.910.94-0.4-0.81-0.890.54-0.930.91-0.810.88-0.80.95-0.4-0.90.9-0.24
0.820.70.760.540.070.820.920.84-0.43-0.91-0.830.83-0.80.77-0.750.87-0.910.79-0.37-0.940.88-0.71
0.890.490.770.690.230.910.920.93-0.58-0.84-0.860.78-0.870.83-0.770.98-0.820.93-0.25-0.910.92-0.46
0.940.290.810.750.330.940.840.93-0.35-0.92-0.980.62-0.990.96-0.930.91-0.90.97-0.51-0.930.99-0.38
-0.31-0.3-0.05-0.290.39-0.4-0.43-0.58-0.350.150.2-0.560.29-0.240.09-0.610.16-0.43-0.420.29-0.320.05
-0.91-0.51-0.78-0.57-0.25-0.81-0.91-0.84-0.920.150.96-0.710.9-0.870.94-0.810.97-0.840.670.95-0.960.68
-0.94-0.3-0.8-0.71-0.34-0.89-0.83-0.86-0.980.20.96-0.590.98-0.960.98-0.850.93-0.920.640.93-0.990.46
0.660.670.430.39-0.110.540.830.780.62-0.56-0.71-0.59-0.510.42-0.580.81-0.620.63-0.16-0.680.7-0.8
-0.92-0.23-0.8-0.74-0.32-0.93-0.8-0.87-0.990.290.90.98-0.51-0.990.93-0.850.9-0.940.550.92-0.960.3
0.890.220.790.70.310.910.770.830.96-0.24-0.87-0.960.42-0.99-0.890.79-0.90.9-0.55-0.910.93-0.25
-0.89-0.21-0.72-0.68-0.33-0.81-0.75-0.77-0.930.090.940.98-0.580.93-0.89-0.780.88-0.870.720.85-0.960.48
0.880.40.720.720.230.880.870.980.91-0.61-0.81-0.850.81-0.850.79-0.78-0.760.95-0.23-0.860.91-0.44
-0.88-0.56-0.75-0.53-0.17-0.8-0.91-0.82-0.90.160.970.93-0.620.9-0.90.88-0.76-0.780.60.95-0.920.63
0.910.210.810.770.380.950.790.930.97-0.43-0.84-0.920.63-0.940.9-0.870.95-0.78-0.44-0.880.95-0.28
-0.51-0.08-0.48-0.17-0.3-0.4-0.37-0.25-0.51-0.420.670.64-0.160.55-0.550.72-0.230.6-0.440.52-0.560.37
-0.91-0.53-0.85-0.61-0.22-0.9-0.94-0.91-0.930.290.950.93-0.680.92-0.910.85-0.860.95-0.880.52-0.940.55
0.950.370.790.710.280.90.880.920.99-0.32-0.96-0.990.7-0.960.93-0.960.91-0.920.95-0.56-0.94-0.51
-0.48-0.8-0.32-0.070.11-0.24-0.71-0.46-0.380.050.680.46-0.80.3-0.250.48-0.440.63-0.280.370.55-0.51
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Azek Company has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.65% lower than that of the Building Products sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Azek Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Azek's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Azek could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Azek by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Azek is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Azek Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.0633)0.04060.02820.02580.07080.0743
Asset Turnover0.380.440.470.540.570.66
Net Debt258.9M214.2M470.1M308.0M(160.7M)(152.7M)
Total Current Liabilities124.0M170.4M182.5M195.2M217.0M153.8M
Non Current Liabilities Total503.9M590.3M756.2M740.7M593.8M629.4M
Total Assets1.9B2.2B2.4B2.4B2.2B2.3B
Total Current Assets424.7M532.4M530.6M583.0M471.4M406.2M
Total Cash From Operating Activities98.4M207.7M105.8M362.5M224.5M149.8M

Azek ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Azek's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Azek's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Azek Fundamentals

About Azek Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Azek Company's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Azek using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Azek Company based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
When determining whether Azek Company is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Azek Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Azek Company Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Azek Company Stock:
Check out Azek Piotroski F Score and Azek Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Azek. If investors know Azek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Azek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.478
Earnings Share
1.04
Revenue Per Share
10.094
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.121
Return On Assets
0.0603
The market value of Azek Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Azek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Azek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Azek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Azek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Azek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Azek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Azek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Azek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.