Business First Bancshares Stock Beneish M Score

BFST Stock  USD 28.50  0.22  0.77%   
This module uses fundamental data of Business First to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Business First M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Business First Piotroski F Score and Business First Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Business First's Net Debt is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to gain to about 647 M in 2024, whereas Debt To Assets are likely to drop 0.04 in 2024. At this time, Business First's Free Cash Flow Per Share is comparatively stable compared to the past year. ROIC is likely to gain to 0.11 in 2024, whereas Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is likely to drop 0.01 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Business First Bancshares is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Business First's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Business First executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Business First's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.05
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.9

Focus
Asset Quality

0.95

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Business First Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Business First's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables28.4 M29.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue258.1 M245.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets6.9 B6.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets692.9 M377.2 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total6.5 B6.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment76.3 M72.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative117 M111.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current LiabilitiesB4.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total6.2 B5.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt339.5 M323.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt647 M616.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income136.2 M129.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities97 M92.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments515.1 M879.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments856.3 M913.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

Business First Bancshares Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Business First's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Business First in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Business First's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Business First Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

4.9 Million

At this time, Business First's Depreciation And Amortization is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Business First Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Business First. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables8.0M23.9M19.6M25.7M29.9M28.4M
Total Revenue90.9M149.2M186.6M227.5M245.8M258.1M
Total Assets2.3B4.2B4.7B6.0B6.6B6.9B
Total Current Assets375.6M813.6M1.1B1.1B377.2M692.9M
Net Debt28.6M(65.0M)100.1M373.1M390.1M409.6M
Short Term Debt78.0M5.0M20K9K323.3M339.5M
Long Term Debt118M31M168.4M525.8M616.2M647.0M
Operating Income29.9M36.8M64.6M103.1M129.7M136.2M
Investments(213.2M)(665.2M)(743.1M)(945.4M)(660.2M)(627.2M)

Business First ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Business First's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Business First's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Business First Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Business First Bancshares's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Business First using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Business First Bancshares based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Business Stock Analysis

When running Business First's price analysis, check to measure Business First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Business First is operating at the current time. Most of Business First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Business First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Business First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Business First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.