Big 5 Sporting Stock Beneish M Score

BGFV Stock  USD 1.70  0.04  2.41%   
This module uses fundamental data of Big 5 to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Big 5 M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Big 5 Piotroski F Score and Big 5 Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Big 5's Net Debt is fairly stable compared to the past year. Long Term Debt is likely to climb to about 62.9 M in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 38 M in 2024. At this time, Big 5's Cash Per Share is fairly stable compared to the past year. POCF Ratio is likely to climb to 11.08 in 2024, whereas PTB Ratio is likely to drop 0.54 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Big 5 Sporting is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Big 5's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Big 5 executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Big 5's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.56
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.37

Focus
Asset Quality

0.43

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.94

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.15

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.94

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.1

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.11

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.36

Focus

Big 5 Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Big 5's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables14 M9.2 M
Way Up
Very volatile
Total Revenue985.8 M884.7 M
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets482.1 M644.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets315.1 M310.2 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total351.2 M334.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment90.4 M67.1 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization22 M18.3 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative300.7 M286.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities185.3 M190.7 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total145.2 M209.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt155.9 M148.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt62.9 M59.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.370.3231
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

Big 5 Sporting Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Big 5's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Big 5 in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Big 5's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Big 5 Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

21.99 Million

At this time, Big 5's Depreciation And Amortization is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Big 5 Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Big 5. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables13.6M19.9M13.7M12.3M9.2M14.0M
Total Revenue996.5M1.0B1.2B995.5M884.7M985.8M
Total Assets688.8M700.0M754.0M708.8M644.7M482.1M
Total Current Assets340.9M347.4M407.3M358.0M310.2M315.1M
Net Debt344.1M231.5M193.6M269.9M268.0M281.5M
Short Term Debt74.2M151.7M160.8M73.8M148.4M155.9M
Operating Income(5.0M)57.5M136.0M15.0M(10.7M)(10.2M)
Investments(9.2M)(5.4M)(10.6M)(13.2M)(12.6M)(13.2M)

About Big 5 Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Big 5 Sporting's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Big 5 using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Big 5 Sporting based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Big Stock Analysis

When running Big 5's price analysis, check to measure Big 5's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Big 5 is operating at the current time. Most of Big 5's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Big 5's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Big 5's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Big 5 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.